Prediction CF Montréal vs St. Louis City 2025 – Betting Tips for the Major League Soccer on 13/09/2025

Form, context and what’s at stake

CF Montréal welcome St. Louis City to Stade Saputo on 13/09/2025 in what looks set to be a scrappy, goal-laden affair. Both sides sit deep in the lower reaches of the table — Montréal with 24 points and St. Louis sitting just behind on 22 — so there’s pressure on both camps to turn results into momentum down the run-in. Montréal’s recent string reads like a team hard to break down for long stretches: draws have peppered their last ten fixtures (D-W-D-D-W-L-L-D-D-L), while St. Louis arrive with a much shakier mark of D-L-L-L-W-L-L-L-W-L, a run that underlines inconsistency and defensive vulnerability.

Recent matches and momentum

Looking at the last five results each supplied in the file, Montréal have alternated draws with a couple of wins, including a 3-2 victory over Austin and a 3-1 win at New England earlier in the stretch, indicating they can find the net when given space. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw at home to Toronto, with Thomas Guilier earning the match best-player nod. St. Louis’ pattern is more volatile: their draw with Dallas last week (1-1) followed a string of narrow defeats, but that sequence also featured high-scoring affairs — 3-2 losses to Vancouver and Chicago, a 2-3 reverse to Houston — and a 3-1 win over Nashville. Célio Pompeu was the standout in the draw with Dallas, a positive sign for City’s fight.

Numbers that matter

Statistically the fixture leans toward goals. Both clubs have conceded heavily this campaign — 51 goals apiece across 29 matches — and St. Louis boast the higher attacking profile in the raw numbers: 397 total shots and 135 on target versus Montréal’s 318 and 117. St. Louis average more dangerous attacks (43.17 to Montréal’s 28.48) and more corners, suggesting they will push forward and create opportunities. Montréal’s home record reveals they’ve conceded 28 goals at Stade Saputo while only netting 13 there, a split that suggests home advantage hasn’t translated into defensive solidity. The over 2.5 goals metric supports this outlook: St. Louis have gone over 2.5 in a strong 65.52% of their matches, while Montréal’s matches clear that line nearly half the time (48.28%).

How the bookies see it

The market gives the slimmest edge to the hosts — CF Montréal at 2.30, draw 3.65 and St. Louis 2.76 — reflecting a tight contest but with a nod to home advantage. Those odds underline the unpredictability: a single goal could swing the balance, but the profile of recent games and team statistics point to action at both ends.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect an open match with end-to-end phases. Montréal will look to steady the ship at Stade Saputo and squeeze points at home, while St. Louis carry the capability to create chances in waves and have been involved in several high-scoring contests lately. Given the shared defensive frailties, St. Louis’ higher shot and danger-creation metrics, and the frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals for both teams (particularly St. Louis), the smartest market here is the goal market rather than a straight 1X2.

Betting suggestion: Back Over 2.5 goals. This selection aligns with the attacking numbers and recent scorelines supplied and offers a play that captures the game’s likely open tempo and defensive lapses.