Prediction Chicago Fire vs New England 2025 – Betting Tips for the Major League Soccer on 2025-09-07

Match preview: Chicago hosts New England at SeatGeek Stadium

Chicago Fire return home to SeatGeek Stadium in Bridgeview with the league and the market quietly nudging them toward favoritism. On paper the Fire sit a place above New England in the table with 39 points from 27 games compared to New England’s 31 from 28, and their recent body of work reads better: a run that includes wins over St. Louis City and New York RB and a string of results showing they remain capable of turning pressure into points. The fixture arrives after Chicago’s heavy defeat away to Philadelphia, a 4-0 reversal that is a blunt reminder of vulnerability — but also the kind of setback a confident home side can rebound from against an out-of-form visitor.

New England arrive with a worryingly uneven sequence of results: two wins, one draw and seven defeats across their last ten outings. Their last league game ended in a narrow 1-2 loss to Charlotte, and although they have shown they can nick victories on the road — as in the 2-1 win at Columbus Crew — consistency has been absent. Defensively they have a respectable number of clean sheets, but their overall goal return (36 scored, 40 conceded) paints them as the less potent side when compared to an attack-minded Chicago, who have scored 50 and average a higher shots volume and more chances per match.

Tactical and statistical edge

Chicago’s attacking numbers are compelling. They average more total shots and more shots on target than New England and have been involved in a large share of high-scoring games at home — over 2.5 goals in roughly three quarters of their home fixtures this season. New England, meanwhile, have struggled to find rhythm away from home and have conceded frequently when they have had to chase games. The head-to-head trend also leans Chicago’s way: their last meeting in the US Open Cup ended 3-1 in favor of the Fire, underlining their ability to break down New England’s defence.

Referee Guido Gonzalez is named for this match, and with both teams prone to open, end-to-end spells it’s reasonable to expect moments of tempo and space — particularly if New England chase the game.

Betting suggestion: Back Chicago Fire to win (1 — 1X2 market). The home advantage, superior goal output, recent head-to-head and market odds all point to a home victory as the most likely single outcome.