Prediction Chile vs Peru 2025 – Betting Tips for the Friendly International on 18/11/2025

Chile look to build on recent momentum in Sochi

Chile arrive in Sochi with more momentum than their neighbours. A convincing 2-0 victory over Russia just days ago confirmed a team that can grind out results away from home in these friendlies, and that follow-up to a 2-1 win over Peru in October suggests the visitors will face a unit with a clear blueprint. The venue, Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, will host this South American rematch on 18 November and Chile’s recent attacking numbers stand out: a tidy haul of eight goals at “home” in the dataset and an eye-catching shots tally that dwarfs Peru’s. The forward intent and the ability to create chances consistently give Chile the edge heading into a match that both sides can use to sharpen ideas ahead of the next competitive cycles.

Peru’s fragile form but occasional sparks

Peru arrive with confidence dented by a run that includes more draws and defeats than wins — their last competitive picture shows just one victory in ten, and several narrow losses. Yet they are not a team devoid of threat: their draw with Russia and the fact they have produced goals away from home in recent samples means they can be dangerous on the break. Álex Valera’s recent rating in the Russia match indicates a player capable of influencing results, and Peru’s tendency toward tighter, lower-volume attacking shows they may rely on moments rather than sustained pressure. Against a Chile side that presses and fires plenty of shots, Peru will be looking to frustrate and hit on counters.

Key tactical picture and match flow

Tactically expect Chile to hold the initiative and dominate possession in the attacking third, reflected in their superior shots and attacks averages. Peru’s approach will likely be conservative, compact in defence and seeking to punish transitions. Given Chile’s superior recent head-to-head — a 2-1 win in October — and their current confidence after the Russia result, the hosts are positioned as favourites to clinch another positive result. Gabriel Suazo’s standout rating in Chile’s win over Russia underlines the type of leadership and influence Chile can summon in these encounters.

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Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — back Chile to win. Chile’s recent form, superior attacking output in the dataset and the head-to-head edge make them the best single-market pick from the available information.