A week after Club Bolívar took a 2-0 advantage in the first leg, the Round of 16 returns to Cusco’s Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega on 20/08/2025, and the fixture promises tension and tactical chess. The scoreboard from the previous meeting is unambiguous: Bolívar left the capital with a two-goal cushion and solid performances that handed them a clean win. The raw form lines underline that contrast — Bolívar arrive on a rich run of victories, while Cienciano’s results read as patchy and inconsistent. On paper, this is a tie where the away team can play for control, while the home side must press forward to overturn a clear deficit.
Club Bolívar’s recent roll — seven wins in the last ten with only two defeats — signals confidence and clinical finishing. Their attacking returns and defensive solidity are reflected in clean sheets and an impressive conversion of chances in matches listed, and they were the best-rated team in the prior leg with R. Matheus earning the match’s top mark. Cienciano, meanwhile, has a mixed run with two wins, four draws and four losses in their last ten. Their home ledger shows encouraging numbers: goalsScoredHome sits at seven while goalsConcededHome is a low one, suggesting they have been harder to break down on their own turf. Yet the first-leg loss demonstrates Bolívar found ways to score against them.
Shot and chance metrics paint an interesting picture: Cienciano has been busier in volume of shots across their games, while Bolívar’s averages show efficient usage of attacking opportunities and a higher corners average. Bolívar’s capacity to keep clean sheets in multiple recent fixtures and Cienciano’s relatively low proportion of home games where both teams scored point toward a cautious, possibly low-scoring second leg — especially with a two-goal cushion in the away team’s pocket.
Expect intensity and urgency from Cienciano as they chase goals, balanced against a Bolívar side comfortable enough to manage the game and protect their advantage. The home crowd and venue details add drama, but strictly by the numbers the most convincing trend is defensive control from Bolívar combined with Cienciano’s inconsistent form.
Based on the data provided — notably Bolívar’s string of wins, their clean sheet record, and Cienciano’s low percentage of home games where both teams scored — the clearest value lies in the goal market. Back “Both Teams To Score — No.” The statistical profile supports a match where Bolívar can keep the scoreboard tight and Cienciano will struggle to find a two-goal swing.
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