Prediction Cincinnati vs CF Montréal 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Major League Soccer on 18/10/2025

Snapshot and story so far

Cincinnati head into this TQL Stadium showdown holding a clear upper hand in the standings and the narrative. Anchored on a season that has produced 62 points from 33 matches, they sit second in the table and have built momentum with a string of wins in recent weeks. Their home record shows a decent return of goals and a compact defensive return, and the visit of CF Montréal shapes up as a clash between a high-flying side and a club that has struggled for consistency all year. The fixture list underlines Cincinnati’s appetite for results: victories at New York RB and LA Galaxy, plus a home win over Nashville SC, have punctuated a run that leaves them favourites on paper and on the betting board.

Form, head-to-head and what the numbers whisper

The form-lines tell the same tale. Cincinnati’s last ten results read as a team capable of delivering when it matters, with five wins, two draws and three defeats across that span. CF Montréal on the other hand have been uneven, collecting only six wins all season and sitting 13th with 28 points — their defensive record is particularly worrying, with 57 goals conceded through the campaign. The recent meeting in June reinforced Cincinnati’s edge; they left Montreal with a 3-1 victory, a result that will still echo in the visitors’ dressing room.

Statistically, Cincinnati generate more shots overall and have recorded a higher shots-on-target tally, while Montréal’s attack has been unreliable on the road. Both teams show around a 50% rate for both-teams-to-score in their respective home and away splits, which points to competitive matches but not necessarily high-scoring shootouts every week. Cincinnati’s home goals and a healthier clean-sheet count also underline their control inside TQL Stadium.

Referee, setting and final read

Referee Timothy Ford will oversee the match at a venue that holds 26,000, a place where Cincinnati have delivered their stronger performances this season. Individual recent match notes show players like Alvas Powell starring for Cincinnati in victory and Dante Sealy registering a strong outing for Montréal in their draw with Nashville; those flashes of form matter in tightly contested MLS fixtures.

Betting suggestion Based on the balance of evidence — league position, recent form, the June head-to-head win and the bookmaker market that strongly favours the home side — the clearest single-market play is the 1X2. Back Cincinnati to win (Home) at the available price of 1.54. This pick aligns with Cincinnati’s superior season profile and gives a solid value proposition against an inconsistent CF Montréal side.