Prediction Club Bolívar vs Atlético Mineiro 2025 – Betting Tips for the Copa Sudamericana on 17/09/2025

Match overview: Bolívar riding momentum against a bruised Atlético Mineiro

Club Bolívar arrives at Estadio Hernando Siles in La Paz with the kind of form that makes opponents wary. The Bolivian side has been rampant in recent weeks, compiling an impressive run that reads W-D-W-W-W-W-L-W-W-W in their last ten outings, including a 4-0 dismantling of Guabirá just four days before this quarter-final tie. That result underlined Bolívar’s attacking confidence, and capped a spell where the team registered multiple comfortable victories — a sequence that suggests rhythm and belief are firmly on their side heading into continental action.

By contrast, Atlético Mineiro travel with form issues that cannot be ignored. Their last ten shows a far shakier picture: D-L-L-L-L-W-L-W-D-W, a sequence where wins are occasional and defeats cluster. Atlético’s recent domestic encounters produced heavy reversals — back-to-back setbacks against Cruzeiro and other tough league fixtures — before a 1-1 draw with Santos in their most recent outing. That draw may steady nerves, but it does little to erase a trend of inconsistency that could be punished in knockout football.

Key factors shaping the clash

Home advantage looms large on paper. Bolívar’s recent home displays include multiple clean sheets and potent attacking numbers: their aggregate domestic stats show an attack generating meaningful chances and converting them, with four clean sheets recorded among recent fixtures. Atlético Mineiro, while prolific at times in producing shots and chances (their overall shot totals are high), have struggled to translate that into consistent results away from home and have conceded goals both at home and on the road this season.

Referee Kevin Ortega will oversee the match, and the setting at Estadio Hernando Siles — a sizable venue with a 42,000 capacity — promises a charged atmosphere for a Copa Sudamericana quarter-final. Atlético Mineiro’s statistical profile shows strengths in shots and creativity, but Bolívar’s recent defensive solidity and winning momentum set the tone for a tight contest tilted in favor of the hosts.

Prediction and betting tip

The most clear-cut angle from the available data is to back the home side in the 1X2 market. Bolívar’s recent run of victories, the psychological boost from a 4-0 win days before this tie, and a pattern of clean sheets give them the edge against an Atlético Mineiro side that has struggled for consistency. The market agrees: bookmakers offer the home win at roughly 1.73, reflecting a strong probability for a Bolívar victory.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Club Bolívar to win (odds 1.73).