Prediction Congo DR vs Sudan 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025

Match context

Congo DR welcome Sudan on October 14th as the Group Stage edges toward a decisive phase. The hosts sit second in the group with 19 points from nine matches, a record that underlines consistent attacking returns and resilient defence. Sudan occupy third, on 13 points, having picked up a fair share of draws but far fewer wins. This fixture carries weight for both sides: Congo DR need to consolidate their place near the summit while Sudan are hunting momentum to close the gap and keep qualification hopes alive.

Recent form and statistical shape

Congo DR arrive in encouraged fashion after a narrow 1-0 victory over Togo on October 10, a match where Cédric Bakambu stood out as the best performer. Their group campaign shows six wins, one draw and two defeats, and a total of 14 goals scored against six conceded, a tidy goal difference that reflects an attack capable of finding openings and a defence that keeps regular clean sheets. Their team metrics point to an active offensive profile — 71 total shots with 34 on target — while also demonstrating discipline in defence with five clean sheets and relatively low goals conceded both home and away.

Sudan’s recent run has been built more on draws than decisive victories. Their October 10 meeting with Mauritania finished 0-0, and while Mohamed Hakeem earned the best player rating for that match, the broader form line shows a single win in the latest string of results and six draws. Sudan have produced eight goals in the group while conceding five, reflecting a side that is hard to beat but not prolific in front of goal. Attack metrics are not dramatically different from the hosts — 63 total shots and 33 on target — yet their matches have been more prone to stalemates, with lower percentages for over 2.5 goals and an away record that has shown fewer goal-rich encounters.

Head-to-head memory offers a reminder that Sudan beat Congo DR 1-0 in November 2023, but form and group standing suggest the momentum now favors the hosts. Both teams have recorded multiple clean sheets in the campaign, pointing to a tactical contest that could be tight and structured.

Prediction and betting tip

Given Congo DR’s stronger run in the group, superior points tally and an attacking edge at home, the most justifiable single-market selection is the 1X2 outcome in favor of the hosts. Congo DR’s recent win, greater shot volume, and ability to convert chances while maintaining defensive solidity make them the bookmakers’ logical pick on paper.

Betting suggestion

Main pick: Congo DR to win (1 — 1X2). The data supports backing the hosts to take three points, though expect a competitive match with limited scoring.