Prediction Costa Rica vs Haiti 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Concacaf on 10/09/2025

Match context and momentum

San José will host a compelling early Final Round encounter as Costa Rica welcome Haiti to the Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica on 10/09/2025. The venue, with space for over 35,000 fans, should provide a fervent atmosphere for a Costa Rican side that arrives with a strong recent run. Costa Rica’s formline reads like a team hitting its stride — six wins, three draws and a single loss across the last ten results — and while their most recent qualifier ended in a 1-1 draw with Nicaragua, there is a sense that this squad can control proceedings at home. That draw, and a prior string of competitive results against CONCACAF heavyweights, suggest resilience. Alexis Gamboa was singled out as Costa Rica’s best performer in that last outing, reinforcing a defensive presence that has kept three clean sheets at home in recent times and conceded just once at the Estadio Nacional in the data provided.

Haiti’s profile and key threads

Haiti arrives with its own signals of competitiveness. Their form is mixed but reveals a revitalised streak of performances, and their recent 0-0 draw with Honduras demonstrates defensive organisation on the road. Alexandre Pierre was the standout for Haiti in that match, suggesting individual quality that can influence tight contests. Statistically, Haiti’s matches have shown a tendency toward goals over time — both sides register strong over-2.5 percentages — and Haiti have produced moments of offensive threat despite occasional heavy defeats earlier in their recent sample. Their away numbers show reasonable attacking volume, but they also carry vulnerabilities that a polished Costa Rica side will look to exploit.

How the numbers shape a prediction

Shot metrics and goals figures paint a lively picture. Both teams average heavy shot counts and carry a high over-2.5 frequency of 80% in the provided sample, indicating that when these teams meet they often produce multiple-goal affairs. Costa Rica’s home defence is sound on paper, but their recent fixtures have included open, end-to-end play and a respectable shot-on-target return. Haiti’s ability to keep Honduras at bay hints at a tactical capacity to grind out results, yet their overall results include higher-scoring games that tilt the matchup toward entertainment rather than a sterile stalemate.

Betting suggestion: Based on the attacking tendencies highlighted in the stats for both sides and the high over-2.5 occurrence in recent matches, the best market here is the goal market. Back Over 2.5 goals in Costa Rica vs Haiti. The data points to open play, significant shot volumes for both teams, and a historical pattern of multiple-goal encounters that make Over 2.5 the most convincing single-market option from the information provided.