Prediction Crawley Town vs Peterborough United 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the EFL Trophy on 11/11/2025

Match overview

Crawley Town host Peterborough United at The People's Pension Stadium in what promises to be a lively Southern Group Stage clash of the EFL Trophy on 11/11/2025. The two teams arrive with contrasting recent narratives: Crawley have flashed attacking moments — a commanding 4-0 win over Bristol Rovers and a tight 2-1 victory against Fleetwood Town last weekend — but their form is patchy overall, producing just three wins in their last ten outings. Peterborough, by contrast, look in hungry mood after a thumping 5-0 victory over AFC Wimbledon and an overall pattern of more consistent wins, six triumphs in their last ten. The H2H from April delivered seven goals (3-4), so both sides know how to find the net when they meet.

Form, stats and tactical picture

Crawley’s group numbers show an enterprise-driven side: five goals scored across two group matches and a healthy attacking output at home with 19 total shots and nine on target across recent fixtures. They have struggled defensively at times, conceding four in the group, and have yet to register a clean sheet in the competition. Peterborough bring a heavier artillery of chances — 36 total shots in their group matches and an impressive corners average of 9.5 — suggesting they will press and create overloads. Their goals-for tally matches Crawley’s at five but they have been slightly more porous, conceding five. Recent match ratings highlight Louie Watson as a key contributor for Crawley last weekend and Harry Leonard as Peterborough’s standout in the 5-0 demolition, both names that underline how momentum can shift quickly in cup fixtures.

The bookmakers make Peterborough the slight favorite for the 1X2 market at around 2.22 for the away win, while Crawley are priced longer at 2.86 and the draw sits near 3.45. That pricing reflects the visitors’ superior recent consistency but doesn’t factor in the local intensity Crawley can generate at The People’s Pension Stadium, where they’ve shown capacity to score freely.

What to expect and tips for punters

Expect an open game. Historical meetings and the current group metrics point to goals: both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs and both show offensive intent. Peterborough’s volume of shots and corners suggests sustained pressure, but Crawley’s ability to hit back and the lack of clean sheets on both sides increases the chance of exchanges. For anyone working through market selection, a disciplined approach to stake sizing matters — and keeping cool under the swings of cup action is vital; if you want to sharpen that side of your game, techniques on How to have emotional control when placing bets? can help. For market choices and structure, the piece on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets is a sensible read before committing.

Betting suggestion: Goal market Back Over 2.5 goals. The combination of Peterborough’s carrying threat (high shots and corners numbers), Crawley’s willingness to trade blows at home, and the 3-4 H2H from April all point to a match likely to produce three or more goals. Stake conservatively and consider small multipliers alongside this selection to manage risk.