Prediction CRB vs Ferroviária 2025 – Betting Tips for the Serie B on 14/10/2025

Fixture context and form guide

This Serie B clash in Maceió shapes up as a classic meeting between a club hunting stability and one scrapping for breathing room. CRB arrive on home soil sitting eighth with 46 points and a season stamped by sturdy home defensive numbers: 22 goals scored at their grounds against just seven conceded, and an impressive 11 clean sheets. Their recent rhythm reads like an up-and-down rollercoaster but tilts positive — wins over Goiás and Avaí in the last week have injected momentum and confidence ahead of the trip from Ferroviária.

Ferroviária, placed 16th with 36 points, bring a moodier run: a mix of draws and frustrating defeats punctuated by occasional sparks, as shown by their away win at Botafogo SP in late September but followed recently by a 0-1 loss to Chapecoense. The visitors have been drawing too often to fully climb the table — 12 draws this season — and carry the burden of a porous away defensive record with 21 goals conceded on the road. That inconsistency, especially when matched against CRB’s home solidity, frames the narrative for the weekend.

How the numbers shape the match

Statistics tell a persuasive story. CRB’s low BTTS rate at home — only a quarter of their home fixtures have seen both teams score — combined with Ferroviária’s middling away goal output points to a contest likely to be controlled and compact. CRB’s attacking volume is superior, reflected in higher totals of shots and dangerous attacks, while Ferroviária’s game has produced more drawn affairs and a higher share of matches finishing over 2.5 goals overall. The head-to-head nuance remains important: Ferroviária claimed a 1-0 victory earlier in the season, a reminder that one tight moment can decide this fixture. Yet recent performances favour CRB, and their goalkeeper and defensive unit have shown the ability to grind out results.

Tactical patience will be key. Expect CRB to leverage home rhythm and crowd familiarity at Estádio Universitário da UFAL to control tempo and frustrate the visitors, while Ferroviária will search for counters and set-piece chances to exploit any gap. Recent standout contributors — Léo Campos for CRB and Gustavo Medina for Ferroviária — have shown their capacity to influence tightly contested matches, and their performances could swing fine margins.

Betting suggestion

Recommended bet (1X2 market): Back CRB to win. The home side’s defensive record, recent wins, and bookmakers’ pricing support a confident selection on CRB to take three points at roughly 1.60.