
Cremonese welcome Udinese to the compact Stadio Giovanni Zini on 20 October in what promises to be a lively Serie A encounter. The home side sit eighth after six rounds with nine points, a team that has shown resilience at home but a tendency to grind out narrow results — three draws in their last few league outings and a recent heavy defeat away at Inter (4-1) that punctuated a mixed start. Udinese arrive 12th with eight points and a contrasting statistical profile: more pronounced attacking numbers across the campaign and a run of results that suggests they can turn matches in their favour when chances are created.
Cremonese’s home form has been solid defensively, reflected in two clean sheets and only two goals conceded at home so far. Their recent league wins and draws indicate a side difficult to break down, but their attacking output is modest; seven goals in total across six matches and a tendency toward low-scoring encounters. Udinese, by contrast, have registered more than double the total shots and far higher averages for dangerous attacks and overall entries into the final third, underlining a capacity to press opponents and craft opportunities. Their last game ended in a 1-1 draw with Cagliari, a result that halted a blip and keeps momentum steady.
This fixture shapes up as a battle between Cremonese’s compact, methodical home performance and Udinese’s more aggressive chance creation. Statistical edges are with the visitors: a much higher shots average, superior shots on target volume, and an attacks average that suggests Udinese will try to dictate phases and force openings. Cremonese’s stronger defensive numbers at home and a reputation for scrapping results mean they will not be easy to dismantle, but their limited goal return raises questions about whether they can convert pressure into points against a team that counters with sharper attacking metrics.
Head-to-head memory adds a narrative angle — the most recent meeting in Serie A ended 3-0 in favour of Udinese, an outcome that could factor psychologically and tactically into both camps. The referee for the game, Michael Fabbri, and the tight confines of the 20,641-capacity Giovanni Zini suggest a match where momentum swings could be decisive.
Expect an open contest where Udinese’s attacking edge nudges them ahead. Cremonese will make it difficult and a draw cannot be written off given their home solidity, but the visitors’ ability to produce chances and the bookmaker pricing that gives Udinese the marginal edge point toward an away success.
Back Udinese to win (Away) in the 1X2 market at the available price of 2.45. The pick is based on Udinese’s superior attacking statistics, their recent positive run of results, and the historical 3-0 victory in the last Serie A meeting — a combination that offers value against a Cremonese side that, while tough to break down at home, has struggled to match visiting teams’ chance creation.
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