Prediction Crystal Palace vs Millwall 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Carabao Cup on 16/09/2025

Recent form and context

Crystal Palace arrive at Selhurst Park buoyed by an unbeaten run reflected in the latest ten-game summary: a sequence that reads D-W-D-D-D-W-W-W-D-W, five wins and five draws and no losses. That kind of consistency creates momentum, especially at home. Their most recent outing ended 0-0 against Sunderland in the Premier League on 13 September 2025, a match where Daichi Kamada earned the plaudits as the best player with a 7.23 rating. Palace also boast a notable cup memory against Millwall earlier in the year, having recorded a 3-1 victory in the FA Cup, which gives this tie a psychological edge heading into the Carabao Cup third round.

Millwall come into the fixture with mixed but resilient Championship form. Their last match was a 1-1 draw away to Charlton Athletic on the same weekend, and Luke Cundle picked up the best player rating for Millwall in that game. Millwall’s recent results include strong wins over Coventry City and Sheffield United, but they’ve also been vulnerable, losing to Wrexham and Middlesbrough in August. Overall the Lions have a competitive streak—six wins, one draw and three defeats across their latest ten—yet trips to Selhurst Park have historically been tough, and that challenge is compounded by the bookmaker market making Crystal Palace clear favourites.

Head-to-head and match dynamics

The last recorded H2H meeting in the FA Cup ended 3-1 to Palace, with a 2-1 halftime lead that they extended. That result demonstrates Palace’s ability to assert control in knockout ties against Millwall. The Carabao Cup setting will almost certainly bring tactical caution early on, but Palace’s home advantage — playing at a stadium with a capacity of 25,456 — and a string of recent draws and hard-fought wins suggests they will be the team more comfortable dictating the tempo.

Referee Robert Madley is listed for the game; his presence often accompanies a measured, controlled game where neither side is likely to unleash reckless aggression. Expect tight spells and decisive moments settled by individual quality or a set-piece.

Betting suggestion

Given the weight of evidence — Palace’s unbeaten recent run, their cup victory over Millwall earlier in the year, home advantage at Selhurst Park, and the bookmakers’ market assigning a 73.53% probability to a Crystal Palace win (odds 1.36) — the strongest single-market play here is on the 1X2. Back Crystal Palace to win (Home) in the match. This selection aligns with form, venue and historical head-to-head context and represents the clearest value choice from the available markets.