Crystal Palace welcome Sunderland to Selhurst Park on 13 September in what promises to be a compelling Round 4 Premier League tie. The bookies make Palace clear favourites and the numbers backing that line are persuasive: Palace arrive unbeaten in the league slate so far with five points from three matches and a recent run that reads as a steady string of results. Sunderland, by contrast, have shown they can score — five goals in three league outings — but their form has been less consistent, a mixture of impressive wins and disappointing defeats away from home.
On paper this is a classic fixture between a compact, hard-to-break-down home side and an away team that creates more and higher-volume attacking moments. Palace’s defensive record stands out: only one goal conceded in the league so far and two clean sheets recorded in recent displays. Marc Guéhi was highlighted as Palace’s best performer in their last win at Aston Villa, a result that underlines their capacity to get results on the road as well as at home. Sunderland’s recent win over Brentford showcased their attacking threat, with Enzo Le Fée earning praise as his side’s top-rated performer in that match.
Sunderland generate noticeably more attacking volume: higher totals in shots, shots inside the box and dangerous attacks, and they also average more corners than Palace. Those attacking metrics suggest Sunderland will not be intimidated into a purely defensive stance and will push for chances. Palace, however, combine efficient shot conversion with a compact defensive shape that has produced clean sheets and limited opponents’ opportunities. Historically the two clubs’ recent head-to-head shows a heavy Palace victory back in 2017, but this season’s data is the more relevant barometer: home solidity versus away firepower.
Given the referee Thomas Bramall is appointed and the match is staged at Selhurst Park, expect a competitive, physical affair but one where Palace’s ability to grind out results at home could prove decisive. Sunderland will create chances and could trouble Palace, yet the balance of probabilities points to the hosts exploiting their consistency and defensive discipline.
Betting suggestion: Based on the form, team statistics and market probabilities, the best single selection is a 1X2 pick: Crystal Palace to win. The bookmakers’ pricing and Palace’s unbeaten start at this stage make the home victory the most justified option.
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