Sunday’s clash at Tsarsko Selo Sports Complex promises to be a mood-setter in Round 8 of the Bulgarian First League. CSKA 1948 Sofia arrive in confident mood, sitting fourth with 13 points from seven matches and a form line littered with wins. Their recent sequence reads as a team that knows how to close out games: four wins in their last five league outings and seven victories in the most recent ten-match sample is a record that underlines momentum. Home output has been solid too — five goals scored and just two conceded at home so far — and they come off hard-fought encounters against major Sofia rivals, including a narrow 2-1 reverse to Levski and an away success at CSKA Sofia earlier in August.
Slavia Sofia, by contrast, are searching for consistency. Thirteenth in the table with five points, their season has been patchy and fragile; the away record is particularly worrying, with only two goals scored on the road and six conceded. A draw with CSKA Sofia was a recent bright spot, but that result sits among a string of defeats that has left questions over resilience and attacking potency away from home. Last season’s head-to-head meeting in the Relegation Round finished 0-1 in favour of CSKA 1948, echoing the current narrative that Slavia often struggle to unlock stronger Sofia-based sides.
CSKA 1948’s statistical profile suggests a side that presses consistently and creates chances from inside the box — their shots-inside-box tally and attacks average point to a team that builds sustained pressure. They average more dangerous attacks and corners, which translates into a tangible threat in the final third, and their defensive numbers at home have been manageable, producing two clean sheets already.
Slavia’s numbers highlight an attack that struggles to convert opportunities away from home. While they do generate shots, more of them come from outside the box, and their conversion into goals has been limited. Their away form and defensive frailties make them vulnerable to teams who can finish chances — a category CSKA 1948 increasingly belong to over recent weeks.
Expect CSKA 1948 Sofia to impose themselves early, exploiting the home comfort of Tsarsko Selo and Slavia’s travel woes. This looks like a fixture where the home side controls territory and creates higher-quality chances inside the box. Slavia may manage spells of possession and could carve out set-piece opportunities, but the overall balance of form, recent results and home/away efficiencies tips the match clearly in favour of the hosts. A 2-0 or 2-1 win for CSKA 1948 is a realistic projection based on current trends and the way both teams have been performing.
Betting pick (market: 1X2) — Back CSKA 1948 Sofia to win. Confidence: high given the home side’s superior form, stronger goal threat at home and Slavia’s struggles on the road.
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