Prediction Cumbaya vs Imbabura 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Pro Serie B on 08/10/2025

Match context: relegation battle with points on the line

Cumbaya welcome Imbabura in a match that feels like a mini final inside the Liga Pro Serie B relegation round. On paper Cumbaya sit two places and four points above Imbabura, but the tables here do little to capture the fine margins of recent form. Cumbaya arrive buoyed by a late 0-1 win away to Vinotinto where Juan Vacca earned plaudits, while Imbabura are licking wounds after a 2-1 reverse at Vargas Torres just two weeks earlier when Leandro Pantoja was their pick of the bunch. This is the seventh round of the relegation group and every point matters; both teams know a slip could prove costly.

How the numbers shape the encounter

Statistically the tie promises an intriguing duel between Cumbaya’s home solidity and Imbabura’s threat on the ball. Cumbaya have shown they can grind results at home — 15 goals scored at home and 13 conceded — while boasting a high number of clean sheets in the dataset. Imbabura, by contrast, generate more attacking output across the board with a significantly higher shots average (14.62 to Cumbaya’s 9.93) and an attacks average of 96.19 compared to 88.07. Yet that attacking ambition comes with vulnerability: Imbabura have shipped 26 away goals, a tally that points to defensive frailties visitors might be able to exploit.

Head-to-head form is recent and cagey: the sides drew 0-0 when they met on September 11, suggesting a tactical familiarity that can produce low-scoring stalemates. Still, the BTTS indicators tilt towards both teams finding the net — Cumbaya have a 55.56% BTTS rate at home while Imbabura’s away BTTS sits at 69.23% — so this clash could be more open than the latest H2H suggests. Over 2.5 goals is a live possibility too, especially given Imbabura’s 50% over-2.5 record away versus Cumbaya’s more conservative 33.33%.

Reading the mood and likely game plan

Expect Cumbaya to build from a compact defensive base, aiming to strike on transition and set-piece moments that have served them at home. Imbabura will likely push higher, looking to convert their superior shot volume into meaningful chances; whether they can do that without exposing themselves at the back will decide the outcome. Recent matches show Cumbaya can eke out narrow wins, while Imbabura oscillate between high-scoring affairs and costly defensive lapses.

Betting suggestion Based on the balance of attacking threat and defensive vulnerability in the stats, the most sensible market here is goals rather than a straight 1X2. Back Both Teams to Score — the data shows a clear trend for BTTS at Cumbaya’s home fixtures and a very strong BTTS rate for Imbabura away, making this the best single-market play from the available options.