Cusco FC arrive at the Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega perched at the top of the Clausura table and brimming with confidence. Eight matches into the campaign the hosts have compiled seven wins and a single draw, an unbeaten run that has yielded 22 points and a slim defensive record of just three goals conceded. Their recent sequence reads like a statement of intent: hard-fought victories over the likes of Ayacucho and Sporting Cristal and a run of results that underlines consistency and defensive solidity. The capacity crowd in Cusco — a loud and intimidating atmosphere — will be backing a side that not only scores but keeps opponents at bay, as reflected in the home team’s impressive clean sheet tally.
ADT arrive in Cusco with flashes of promise but an inconsistent pattern that has them down in 11th position. The visitors have tasted victory in their most recent outing, a 3-1 win over UTC Cajamarca, but their overall return across eight fixtures — three wins, one draw and four defeats — points to vulnerability, particularly on the road. ADT have shown they can score, yet their away defensive numbers worry; they have conceded significantly more goals than Cusco and have only managed a handful of clean sheets. Their campaign contains moments of resilience, but taken overall they look ill-equipped to silence a home side in such form.
There is a wrinkle to the story: earlier in the year, in the Apertura, ADT registered a 2-1 victory over Cusco FC, proving they are capable of upsetting the script. Still, football is a game of current form as much as past results. Cusco’s ongoing unbeaten run and superior defensive record at home tilt the balance in their favor. The bookmakers reflect that hierarchy: the home win is priced at 1.50 with a probability of around 66.7%, while a draw or away win is considered distinctly less likely.
Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Back Cusco FC to win
Given the evidence on form, defensive stability and home advantage, the clearest value here is siding with Cusco FC in the 1X2 market. The market price of 1.50 mirrors the strong likelihood of a home victory rooted in consistent results and an intimidating venue. This is not a high-odds punt; it’s a market-aligned, form-based selection best suited to a measured stake rather than an all-in approach.
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