Prediction Degerfors vs Hammarby 2025 – Betting Tips for the Allsvenskan on 03/11/2025

Match context and form — small town pride meets title-chase teeth

Degerfors welcome Hammarby to Stora Valla on 3 November in a fixture that pits stubborn survival instincts against bona fide title-challenge momentum. The Swedish autumn adds a crisp edge to a match where the referee Adam Ladebäck will oversee proceedings at a compact 7,500-capacity ground that has seen its share of drama this season. Degerfors arrive sitting 14th with 26 points after 28 rounds, a side that has shown flashes — recent wins over Öster and Elfsborg — but a worrying goal difference of -21 underlines defensive vulnerability. Hammarby, meanwhile, are second in the table on 58 points and carry confidence from a convincing 3-1 win at Malmö in their last outing where Paulos Abraham earned the plaudits.

How the numbers shape expectations

Statistically, this is a clash of contrasts. Hammarby dominate nearly every attacking metric: far higher totals for shots and shots on target, a superior average of attacks and dangerous attacks, and 13 clean sheets on the season compared with Degerfors’ four. Degerfors have been leakier than they'd like — 50 goals conceded — but they’ve shown resilience away and a willingness to fight, with four wins in their last ten. Hammarby’s form line reads stronger, and their ability to score both home and away (56 goals overall, 25 on the road) gives them an edge. Head-to-head earlier in the campaign already favored Hammarby, who edged Degerfors 1-0 in May. On balance, the statistical profile favors an away victory, but Degerfors’ tendency to produce intermittently dangerous matches at Stora Valla keeps things interesting.

Tactical impulses and match narrative

Expect Hammarby to control possession and probe from wide areas and late runs into the box; their shot and attack averages suggest they will seek to impose themselves. Degerfors will need to be compact and pragmatic, hoping to force turnovers and punish transitions — their recent 2-1 win over Öster shows they can be clinical when chances arrive. Given the scoring records on both sides and the fact both teams have been involved in many over-2.5 games this season, the contest looks likely to produce clear chances and at least a couple of goals, even if Hammarby ultimately take the points.

Betting perspective and resources

For readers who like to refine market choice, the matchup offers a classic 1X2 decision and viable goal-market opportunities; if you want to brush up on market selection before placing stakes, check out Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and if you want to manage the pressure around your stakes, a timely read is How to have emotional control when placing bets?.

Betting suggestion After weighing form, head-to-head and the bookies’ prices, the clearest value is on the 1X2 market: back Hammarby to win (Away) at around 2.20. Hammarby’s superior attack metrics, better defensive balance and recent wins — including the 3-1 scalp at Malmö — make them the stand-out pick in a match where Degerfors can threaten but are unlikely to derail the visitors’ momentum.