Match context and what the numbers say
Don Bosco welcome New Soger to Stade du TP Mazembe in Lubumbashi on 26 January 2026 with momentum clearly on the home side’s shoulder. The hosts arrive fresh from a 3-1 win over Panda B5 on 23 January and have been stubborn at home this season — eight wins, only two defeats across competitions in the available sample, and an impressive seven clean sheets recorded in their stats. Their group record shows two matches played with a 1-0-1 split and four points, but the broader form line reads like a team that knows how to close games: W-D-W-W-W-W-W-L-D-W in the last ten fixtures.
New Soger, by contrast, have been patchy. The away side have managed moments of quality, a 3-1 victory over Blessing and draws mixed in, yet their latest outing ended in a 1-0 defeat at Simba on 21 January. In group terms they sit lower with one win from three and three points. The away metrics in the dataset are striking: zero goals scored away in the compiled away-goal figure and five conceded, which points to a side struggling to produce in hostile environments.
Head-to-head history adds a wrinkle: the only recorded recent clash between these two saw New Soger beat Don Bosco 1-0 in November 2025 — a reminder that past results can bite back. Yet home advantage at a venue that holds 18,000 and Don Bosco’s run of clean sheets and consistent goal output at home tilt the balance.
Tactical feel and likely match shape
Expect Don Bosco to dictate early tempo. Their capacity to keep clean sheets suggests organisation at the back and the ability to grind out results. New Soger are likely to be compact, but their recent away struggles and the zero tally for away goals in the provided figures suggest they may find it hard to break down a well-drilled home side. This should be a match decided by a narrow margin, with Don Bosco favourites to convert chances and control the game’s rhythm.
For readers looking to refine their approach, a primer on market selection is always useful — consider reviewing Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets to match your style, and if you want to brush up on probabilities before staking, check How the betting odds work in sports betting.
Betting suggestion
Given the contrast in home solidity and New Soger’s limited away threat in the supplied data, the clearest selection is a 1X2 play: back Don Bosco to win. The home side’s recent form, seven clean sheets and superior home goal record make them the most reliable choice here. Stake sensibly and consider this a confident but measured pick rather than a banker.
