Prediction Egypt vs Ethiopia 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025

Match preview: Cairo set for another hostile night

Cairo International Stadium will be the stage on September 5, 2025, when Egypt welcome Ethiopia in a Group Stage showdown of the CAF World Cup Qualifiers. The Pharaonic side arrive with form that any coach would envy — an unbeaten recent run that reads like a mission statement: seven wins and three draws in their last ten. That consistency has been built on a compact defense and a blunt attacking edge, with Egypt recording nine goals at home and conceding just once in the available sample. The fans in Nasr City, with a stadium capacity listed at 30,000, will expect nothing less than a commanding display.

Form and recent meetings suggest a clear favourite

The memory of the most recent meeting is fresh: Egypt traveled to Ethiopia in March and left with a 2-0 victory. That result underlines a psychological edge as much as a tactical one. Egypt’s match report against Sierra Leone in late March — a 1-0 win where Omar Marmoush earned the best player rating — reinforced a squad capable of closing out tight encounters. Ethiopia, meanwhile, have shown flashes of potency, most spectacularly the 6-1 rout of Djibouti earlier this year where Bereket Desta posted an impressive rating. But that high was paired with inconsistency; their last ten results show far more turbulence than their hosts, with two wins, three draws and five losses.

Tactically, the statistics favor Egypt. They outgun Ethiopia in total shots (78 to 47) and in shots on target (34 to 14), a gulf that points to more territory and clearer chances for the home side. Egypt’s attacking averages — higher numbers of total and dangerous attacks and more corners per game — suggest sustained pressure will be applied. Ethiopia are capable of explosive moments, but their defensive record away from home and limited clean sheets count underlines vulnerability when up against a technically superior side in front of a home crowd.

Prediction and betting tip

All signs point to a home victory. Egypt’s unbeaten momentum, superior shot volume and the psychological advantage from the recent 2-0 win in the earlier meeting make them the comfortable favourite. Ethiopia’s big win over Djibouti proves they can score heavily against weaker opposition, but against a well-drilled Egyptian side in Cairo the expectation is that they will struggle to replicate that form.

Betting suggestion (market: 1X2) — Back Egypt to win. Confidence is high that home advantage and consistent attacking pressure will deliver three points for the hosts.