Prediction Energie Cottbus vs RB Leipzig 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the DFB Pokal on 28/10/2025

A David-and-Goliath Vibe in Cottbus

Energie Cottbus will roll out at the Stadion der Freundschaft on 28 October with momentum coursing through their veins. The hosts arrive on the back of an impressive home run: consecutive victories peppered across October — a 5-0 dismantling of Stuttgart II, a 3-2 win over Alemannia Aachen and a thrilling 4-3 triumph against Havelse just three days before this cup tie. Those results underline a team that scores freely at times and has enjoyed a run of form that reads like W-W-W-W-W in recent reports. The atmosphere in Cottbus, a ground capable of holding 22,528 fans, will be electric and the home side will be intent on turning the cup tie into a derby-like showdown.

RB Leipzig arrive as heavy favourites

RB Leipzig come to the Brandenburg outpost in imperious shape as well. A 6-0 rout of FC Augsburg on 25 October is the headline act in their recent form, which is peppered with wins and only a single draw against Borussia Dortmund. The bookmakers mirror reality: the match-winner market prices Leipzig at 1.25 with an implied probability around 80%, while the draw sits at 5.75 and an upset home win is listed at a long 9.50. That pricing speaks loudly — bookmakers see Leipzig as overwhelming favourites. Statistical snapshots back that up: the away side’s recent matches show heavy shot volumes (26 total shots with six on target in their last noted game) and a team capable of converting dominance into multiple-goal returns.

Tactical and statistical contours to watch

This clash projects as a contrast in styles and levels. Energie Cottbus carry confidence from high-scoring encounters at home and have been clinical in front of goal across their recent fixtures. Leipzig, meanwhile, have demonstrated an ability to blow opponents away and create massive attacking opportunities—numbers reflecting high averages in total and dangerous attacks. Fouls, corners and the rhythm of attack will matter; Cottbus will try to use home ground energy and open play to unsettle the visitors, while Leipzig’s clinical finishing and shot volume make them a constant threat on the break and in sustained pressure.

Betting suggestion

Based strictly on the data — recent results, league context (Cottbus’ matches in 3. Liga versus Leipzig’s Bundesliga fixtures), the emphatic 6-0 away win for Leipzig and the strongly skewed market odds — the recommended bet is on the 1X2 market: RB Leipzig to win (Away) at 1.25. The price is short, but the information provided points clearly to an away victory as the most probable outcome.