Prediction England vs Serbia 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 13/11/2025

Context and form: Wembley stage set for a one-sided affair?

England arrive at Wembley on 13/11/2025 at the summit of Group Stage affairs, sitting top with a perfect record: six wins from six, 18 goals scored and an eye-catching zero conceded. That defensive fortress has been as impressive as the attacking output — six clean sheets in six, an average of more than 19 shots per game and a dangerous attacks average north of 97. Serbia, meanwhile, occupy third spot with a mixed set of results: three wins, one draw and two defeats, a more porous defensive ledger (seven conceded) and only ten points from six matches. The most recent meeting was a sobering reminder of the gulf between these sides: England demolished Serbia 5-0 in September, and the data since then has done little to suggest the pendulum has swung.

Tactical snapshot and match expectations

England’s approach in qualifying has been clinical and controlled — high corner averages, heavy shot volume and a remarkable ability to keep the opposition quiet. Serbia can score and have had moments of quality, exemplified by their win over Andorra (3-1), but inconsistency and a higher foul and yellow card average paint the picture of a side that can be disrupted by a disciplined, high-intensity opponent. Wembley’s 90,000 seats will amplify England’s momentum, and historical context plus current metrics point toward another dominant performance from the home side rather than a cagey, low-scoring draw.

Where value sits and what to watch

Bookmakers have clearly priced England as overwhelming favourites — the 1X2 market places the home win at roughly 1.32, reflecting an implied probability near 76%. Given England’s unblemished defensive record in the group and Serbia’s mixture of results on the road, that pricing looks justified from a probability perspective, though not generous in terms of return. For bettors focused on markets beyond the match-winner, timing and selection are crucial; for reading on when to pull the trigger on goal markets, see this guide on the right time to place bets on goal markets. And for an overview of how to choose the most suitable betting markets for fixtures like this, check out soccer betting tips and the choice of markets. If nerves are a factor when you bet in big games, it’s worth reading up on how to have emotional control when placing bets to avoid chasing lines in-play.

Betting suggestion England to win (1) in the 1X2 market. The combination of a 6/6 clean sheet record in the group, overwhelming shot and danger-attack metrics, and a recent 5-0 victory over Serbia suggests the home win is the strongest, data-backed play here.