Prediction Everton vs Aston Villa 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 13/09/2025

Match preview: Goodison Park drama on the cards

Everton host Aston Villa at Goodison Park on 13 September in what promises to be a compelling early-season fixture in the Premier League. The Toffees have started the 2025/2026 campaign with momentum — three matches played, six points on the board and an attacking output that shows promise (five goals scored). Their recent run includes a morale-boosting 3-2 victory away at Wolverhampton, and a pair of 2-0 wins that underline a side capable of finding the net in bursts. Villa arrive in a contrasting mood. After three league games they sit bottom of the table with a solitary point and, strikingly, no goals scored in the league so far. Recent results — a heavy 0-3 reverse to Crystal Palace and a 0-1 loss at Brentford — highlight attacking struggles that may test Unai Emery’s side as they seek answers on the road.

Form, stats and what they tell us

Numbers lean toward a game where Everton carry the upper hand. At home Everton have shown a positive attacking tempo with 28 total shots in their opening fixtures and an average of over 9 shots per game, while keeping a clean sheet at Goodison in one of those outings. Aston Villa, despite producing 33 shots across their matches, have been unable to convert in the league — a worrying trend reflected in a goalsScored tally of zero. Defensively, Villa have conceded four goals in three games, exposing vulnerabilities that Everton’s forward thrusts could exploit. Both sides show a mixed form pattern, but Everton’s record of two wins and only a single loss in the opening rounds, combined with home advantage and a crowd that can lift the team in a 39,571-capacity Goodison Park, tilt the balance.

The head-to-head history adds spice: earlier this year Everton fell 0-1 to Villa in a tight encounter, reminding us that past meetings can be decided by fine margins. Referee Simon Hooper will take charge, bringing his own style to the middle — an element that sometimes influences tight Premier League contests.

How the match might unfold

Expect Everton to probe early, using home territory to press Villa’s backline and force openings. Aston Villa, who have struggled to finish chances in league play, may sit deeper and try to force turnovers on the counter. That approach could lead to a choppy first half with Everton edging possession and chances, and the match potentially opening up in the second period if Villa chase a result. Given Villa’s difficulty in finding the net and Everton’s recent scoring form, the game looks more likely to produce a decisive home advantage than a goal-fest in which both teams trade blows.

Betting suggestion: Based on the available data and market prices, the best single-market option is a 1X2 pick: back Everton to win. The bookmaker price for a home win is 2.44 (implied probability ~40.98%), which offers value considering Everton’s attacking output, home advantage at Goodison Park, and Aston Villa’s worrying lack of goals in league fixtures so far.