Prediction Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 24/08/2025

How the numbers set the scene at Goodison Park

Everton welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Goodison Park on 24 August with clear contrasts in momentum. The Toffees arrive off the back of a narrow 1-0 defeat at home to Leeds United, a result that leaves them languishing in 14th with a single goal deficit and no points from the opening round. Their early-season data paints a picture of a side able to construct chances but poor at converting them; Everton averaged seven shots last time out but managed just one effort on target and failed to find the net. Goodison’s 39,571 capacity will be buzzing for the second round, yet recent home statistics show Everton without a clean sheet and with defensive fragility that Brighton will be keen to exploit.

Brighton, by contrast, come into Merseyside in better order. A 1-1 draw with Fulham extended a long unbeaten stretch in form — six wins, three draws and a single loss across the latest sample — and their attacking numbers are superior on paper. Brighton averaged ten shots with four on target in their recent fixtures, demonstrating the ability to test goalkeepers more regularly. Their opening-day point sits them in ninth, and their away metrics indicate an aggressive approach with a higher volume of dangerous attacks that should trouble an Everton backline yet to settle this term.

Recent meetings and psychological edge

The last league meeting between these sides in January saw Everton leave the Amex with a 1-0 victory, showing that they can spring surprises on Brighton. That result still matters psychologically for Everton — proof that they can upset a team in form — but the current context shifts the needle slightly towards the visitors. Stuart Attwell’s appointment as referee and the neutral factors of travel and early-season rhythm all favour Brighton’s steadier preparation and sharper attacking execution.

What to expect in tactical terms

Expect Brighton to dominate territory and shots, probing Everton’s spaces with quick transitions and a willingness to press high. Everton will likely rely on counter moments and set-piece opportunities, but their low conversion rate and limited shots on target are worrying for the home supporters. The match could hinge on whether Everton can tighten up defensively and find a cutting edge, or whether Brighton’s superior chance creation will be enough to secure three points on the road.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 – Brighton & Hove Albion to win. The odds on an away victory (2.30) reflect Brighton’s stronger recent form and their superior chance numbers; backing the Seagulls looks the cleanest play in the 1X2 market, with a considered stake given the usual Premier League volatility.