Prediction Everton vs La Serena 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 28/08/2025

Match overview

Everton return to Estadio Sausalito on August 28 hoping to arrest a wobbly run of form and climb away from the relegation scrap. The hosts sit 12th with 19 points from 20 matches and arrive with a mixed set of results: two wins in the last ten have been enough to keep them afloat but not comfortable. La Serena come as narrow underdogs, 13th with 19 points from 21 outings, and have stumbled through a campaign that has seen defensive frailties exposed repeatedly. The last meeting this season went the way of La Serena in April, a 2-1 scoreline that serves as a reminder this fixture can be unpredictable.

Form and statistical picture

Both teams have similar recent returns on paper: Everton’s last ten shows three wins, four draws and three losses, while La Serena’s string reads three wins, three draws and four defeats. On a deeper dive, Everton look marginally more solid at home — 13 goals scored and 11 conceded on their turf — while La Serena’s away ledger is worrying, having shipped 21 on the road despite scoring 11. Shot metrics tell a story of comparable attacking volume — Everton with 283 total shots and La Serena 292 — but La Serena have slightly more strikes on target (93 to Everton’s 75), suggesting they create clearer chances even if they don’t always convert or keep clean sheets.

Crucially for bettors thinking goals, both sides have shown a propensity for matches with goals. Everton’s home games have produced both teams scoring in 63.64% of fixtures, and La Serena’s away matches have BTTS in 60% of their trips. Over 2.5 goals has landed in half of Everton’s matches and in 57.14% of La Serena’s fixtures. These numbers point to open, end-to-end affairs rather than tight, defensive encounters.

Tactical outlook and key recent moments

Everton will rely on home familiarity and a modest defensive edge at Sausalito, while La Serena will bank on the offensive weapons that have occasionally blown opposing defences apart — even if consistency has been a problem. Recent team performances show Everton conceding goals away and drawing several matches at home, while La Serena have alternated heavy defeats and surprise goal-laden draws, such as their 3-3 stalemate with O’Higgins in August. Recent best performers in the last matches — S. Sosa for Everton and Sebastián Gallegos for La Serena — influenced their respective outings, but both teams need sharper, more disciplined displays to secure full points here.

Betting suggestion

Based on the trend toward open matches, the substantial BTTS percentages for Everton at home and La Serena away, and both teams’ tendency to concede, the strongest single-market recommendation is a goal market: Both Teams to Score — Yes. This selection aligns with the data pointing to frequent goal exchanges and offers a realistic angle given Everton’s defensive lapses and La Serena’s ability to find the net even on the road.