Prediction Exeter City vs Burton Albion 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for League One on 22/11/2025

Preview: St James Park set for an edgy League One clash

Exeter City host Burton Albion at St James Park on 22/11/2025 in what promises to be a compact, competitive League One encounter. The home side arrive sitting 20th with 17 points from 16 matches; Burton occupy 12th with 22 points. Recent form for both teams suggests a streaky mood: Exeter have taken five wins, two draws and three losses across their last ten results while Burton mirror that same 5-2-3 split. The quick turnaround after last weekend’s fixtures — Exeter beaten 2-1 by Leyton Orient and Burton pulling off a 1-0 victory over Blackpool — adds a fresh narrative of momentum for the visitors and minor urgency for the hosts.

Tactical sense and statistical clues

Numbers paint a thoughtful picture. Exeter’s scoring is weighted towards home games: of their 16 goals this season, 12 have come at St James Park, while Burton’s away scoring is notable with 10 of their 16 goals scored on the road. That juxtaposition gives this fixture a tactical edge: Exeter look more productive at home and likely to press, while Burton have shown an ability to nick goals away from home. Clean sheet figures slightly favour Burton (6 to Exeter’s 4), but both defences have been breached enough to suggest chances for either side.

Both teams show contrasting tendencies in goal markets. Exeter’s home matches have resulted in Both Teams To Score (BTTS) in roughly two-thirds of games, while Burton’s away matches have seen BTTS in more than eight out of ten. Over/under trends lean to modest scoring — Burton have produced more matches over 2.5 goals than Exeter — but the BTTS indicators for both sides are eye-catching and point to an encounter where defensive frailties will be tested.

What to expect and key matchups

Momentum-wise, Burton will be quietly confident after last weekend’s clean sheet and a convincing individual display from goalkeeper Brad Collins, who earned a 7.47 rating. Exeter, despite the recent reverse, showed attacking bite in prior wins and had P. Sweeney singled out as their best performer in the Leyton Orient defeat. The last head-to-head meeting in April finished 0-0, which underlines that this fixture can also grind out low-scoring stalemates — but current season patterns suggest more openness than that deadlocked affair.

Final verdict and betting outlook Bookmakers make Exeter the slight favourite at 2.20, with the draw and away win both priced at 3.25. Given the home scoring split, Burton’s away goal tendency and the high BTTS percentages for both sides, the most convincing single-market recommendation is on goals rather than a straight match winner.

Betting suggestion: Back Both Teams To Score (Yes). For context and healthier staking practices, refresh your approach with broader strategy pieces such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and consider timing on goal lines via The right time to place bets on goal markets.