Match overview
This Istanbul derby at Eyüp Stadı shapes up as a classic clash of form and fortune. Eyüpspor welcome İstanbul Başakşehir on 08/02/2026 with the home side sitting 15th in the table after 20 rounds, while Başakşehir occupy a comfortable 6th. Eyüpspor arrive from a gritty spell of results — a recent Turkish Cup draw with Gençlerbirliği and league wins mixed with draws have left them with just 18 points from 20 games and a modest 16 goals scored. İstanbul Başakşehir, by contrast, have been incisive in attack this season (34 goals from 20 matches) and arrive on the back of a convincing 4-1 cup win, showing a team that can both score and close out games away from home.
Key factors that could decide the outcome
Eyüpspor’s defensive vulnerability at home is a concern: 15 goals conceded in their home fixtures and only three clean sheets reflect a side that struggles to shut teams out on their own turf. Their goal production is limited — just 16 across the campaign — which leaves little margin for error against a Başakşehir side that creates more chances and boasts higher shot and dangerous-attack figures. Başakşehir’s recent run — a sequence heavy on wins and few losses — gives them clear momentum. The visitors average more attacks and corners and have produced a better conversion of chances overall, making them the more likely candidates to break the deadlock.
Head-to-head history provides a caveat: the last meeting ended 0-0 in the Super Lig, a reminder that Eyüpspor can frustrate opponents on the day. Still, the broader statistical picture — goals scored and conceded, recent form, and positional gap in the standings — tilts the balance in favour of Başakşehir.
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Betting suggestion
Given the data — Başakşehir’s superior form, greater goal threat, and Eyüpspor’s defensive fragility at home — the clearest value bet in the 1X2 market is to back İstanbul Başakşehir to win. The bookmaker price of 1.63 (implied probability ~61%) reflects their status as favorites and offers a sensible play here, especially for those seeking a lower-variance single-market selection rather than speculative goal lines.
