Preview: Tight table tussle under Falkirk's lights
The Premiership returns to Falkirk Community Stadium on December 3 with a compact, competitive fixture as Falkirk host Motherwell. On paper this one is razor-close: Falkirk sit sixth on 20 points while Motherwell perch third with 22, and recent results underline how small margins are shaping the campaign. Falkirk arrive off a dogged 0-0 draw at Rangers and a convincing 3-0 away win at Dundee United earlier in the month, while Motherwell have collected solid returns too, with home draws and back-to-back wins creating momentum. Expect a match that hums with urgency — both clubs know every point matters and neither is likely to sit back.
Form, stats and telling numbers
Numbers point to a game where goals are probable but control will be at a premium. Falkirk’s season shows 19 goals scored and 21 conceded across 14 matches; Motherwell have been slightly sharper in attack with 22 goals and a noticeably better defensive record of 15 conceded. The underlying shot numbers favour Motherwell — they average more total attacks and more shots per match — but Falkirk’s home figures are fascinating. At home Falkirk’s Both Teams To Score percentage stands at a striking 77.78%, while Motherwell’s away BTTS figure is 66.67%. Over 2.5 goals has also appeared regularly in Falkirk games (over25 at 71.43%), indicating that when Falkirk hosts, there’s often a fair share of action in the final third.
Head-to-head adds spice: the sides met in October with Motherwell prevailing 2-1, a result that gives them a psychological edge and marginally better winning probability in the market. Bookmakers price this as virtually a three-way contest — Motherwell (2.58) are nudged ahead of Falkirk (2.66) with the draw at 3.35 — so there’s value in digging a layer deeper than the straight match winner.
What to expect on the night
Expect an intense, tactical battle with both teams probing for small openings. Clean sheets aren’t a given — Motherwell have five this season but Falkirk’s home attack tends to spark games open. Recent 0-0s for both clubs suggest care in approach, yet the season-long patterns point to goals and shared attacking intent. Scott Bain’s performance in Falkirk’s most recent outing and Elliot Watt’s influence for Motherwell are reminders that goalkeeping and midfield control could swing tight moments either way.
For readers refining market choice, consider combining match context with sound money management — and don’t let emotion override the data. For a reminder on managing feelings during streaks and swings, check How to have emotional control when placing bets?, and if you want a deeper guide to where to channel your stakes in games like this see Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets.
Betting suggestion Based strictly on the provided data — strong BTTS rates for Falkirk at home (77.78%) and a high away BTTS rate for Motherwell (66.67%), combined with over-2.5 tendencies in Falkirk fixtures — the clearest value is in the goal market. Recommended pick: Both Teams To Score — YES. This selection captures the attacking inclinations and defensive vulnerabilities reflected across the season stats and recent meetings. Bet sensibly and size your stake to your bankroll.