Prediction FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Bundesliga on 31/10/2025

Match context and form guide

A cold October evening at the WWK Arena promises a clear contrast in momentum when FC Augsburg host Borussia Dortmund on 31/10/2025. Augsburg arrive sitting 15th in the table after eight games — two wins, one draw and five defeats — and their goals conceded tally (20) paints a worrying picture for the home crowd. Recent results have been unflattering: a 0-1 exit in the DFB Pokal to VfL Bochum and a heavy 0-6 league defeat to RB Leipzig two matches earlier underline a fragile back line and inconsistent form.

Dortmund, by contrast, look like a side in good rhythm. Fourth in the standings with five wins, two draws and only one loss across eight matches, they’ve combined attacking output (14 goals scored) with defensive solidity (6 conceded and five clean sheets recorded). Their latest DFB Pokal outing required penalties to settle matters, but a resilient performance and a strong individual display from Gregor Kobel — highlighted as the man of the match — suggest confidence on the road.

Head-to-head history offers a recent reference point too: the teams last met in March with Dortmund taking a 1-0 win, a result that reinforces the visitors’ psychological edge heading into this clash.

What the numbers suggest

Statistically, the gulf is obvious. Augsburg’s defensive vulnerability is amplified by home goals conceded (14 at home), while Dortmund’s away record reflects a team capable of controlling games and keeping opponents at bay. Augsburg’s matches have frequently seen goals (an over 2.5 percentage at the home level of 87.5%), which signals that, despite their position, they can be involved in high-scoring affairs — but often on the wrong end of them. Dortmund’s form line (seven wins, two draws, one loss across the last ten matches) and clean-sheet record tilt the balance in favour of the visitors.

Betting outlook and market choice

For punters looking to convert the narrative into a clean-market play, the most sensible route is the 1X2 market. Bookmakers place Borussia Dortmund as clear favourites with a price around 1.62 (probability ~61.7%). Given Augsburg’s recent defensive struggles, the contrast in form, Dortmund’s ability to grind out results even after a cup scare, and the psychological lift from recent wins, an away victory offers both value and a high-probability outcome.

Before you stake, consider reading targeted guidance on broader match selection with “Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets” (Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets) and keep your discipline in check by checking advice on mentality in betting with “How to have emotional control when placing bets?” (How to have emotional control when placing bets?).

Betting suggestion: Back Borussia Dortmund (Away) in the 1X2 market at around 1.62. Confidence: strong — Dortmund’s form, defensive stability and recent head-to-head edge make them the logical selection for this fixture.