Prediction FC Augsburg vs VfL Bochum 1848 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the DFB Pokal on 28/10/2025

Match context and momentum

The DFB Pokal second-round tie at the WWK Arena on 28/10/2025 promises a charged evening as FC Augsburg host VfL Bochum 1848. Augsburg come into this cup fixture on the back of a bruising 0-6 defeat to RB Leipzig just three days earlier, a result that will sting the dressing room but also focus minds for a knockout test at home. Their recent sequence reads inconsistently — flashes of promise such as a 3-1 win over VfL Wolfsburg are punctuated by setbacks including losses to Heidenheim and Mainz. That erratic pattern has left Augsburg with three wins, one draw and six defeats across the latest ten-match snapshot, but the home setting and the knowledge that they have beaten Bochum away earlier in the year give them an edge in confidence despite the recent hammering.

Bochum arrive after a 1-1 draw at Holstein Kiel and have similarly struggled for consistency. Their recent run shows two wins, one draw and seven losses across the comparable sample, a record that underlines vulnerability even as they create chances. Statistical indicators paint Bochum as the more attack-minded side over the sample: they average 28 total shots with ten on target and produce more dangerous attacks and corners than Augsburg. Yet that attacking output has not reliably translated into results, and defensive lapses remain an issue — a fragile combination in a knockout environment.

Tactical balance and what to expect

This tie looks likely to pivot on Augsburg’s reaction to the Leipzig demolition and Bochum’s inability to convert pressure into goals consistently. Augsburg’s home advantage at the WWK Arena, a 30,660-capacity venue, and the psychological lift of a previous 2-1 away success over Bochum earlier in the season are factors in their favour. While Bochum create more opportunities and lead key attacking metrics, their formline and recent propensity to drop points make them an unpredictable cup opponent.

Augsburg’s shot numbers are lower in aggregate, but their previous ability to grind out results domestically suggests they can manage the game when required. In cup football, the mental reset after a heavy league loss often produces a dogged home performance rather than a collapse, and the bookmakers have made that the prevailing view.

Betting suggestion

Given the balance of form, venue and the market, the clearest value lies in the 1X2 market backing the home side. The bookmakers list FC Augsburg at 1.50 to win, reflecting a strong probability in their favour and the practical advantage of home comfort and recent head-to-head success. For a single-market play in this tie the recommendation is to back FC Augsburg to win (Home) in the 1X2 market at the quoted 1.50 price.