Big stage, familiar script: Allianz Arena awaits a heavyweight clash
The Allianz Arena will be buzzing on 11/02/2026 when FC Bayern München host RB Leipzig in a DFB Pokal quarter-final that carries the kind of knockout tension both clubs know well. Referee Daniel Siebert will take charge at a venue capable of holding 75,024 spectators, and the recent form-lines suggest a night that could tilt strongly in the home side’s favour. Bayern arrive off a thumping 5-1 win over TSG Hoffenheim on 08/02/2026 — a result that reinforced their attacking credentials — while Leipzig travel after a hard-fought 2-1 victory at FC Köln the same day.
Form, recent meetings and the telling numbers
The narrative coming out of the data is clear: Bayern are the form team. Their reported sequence reads W-D-W-L-W-W-W-W-W-W with eight wins, one draw and a single loss in the latest snapshot — momentum that breeds confidence for a single-elimination tie. Bayern’s recent 5-1 demolition of RB Leipzig at Leipzig on 17/01/2026 looms large in the psychology of this fixture; that result gave the hosts a template to replicate.
Leipzig’s run is less consistent, with five wins, one draw and four losses in the latest update. They can produce results — evidenced by the 2-1 win at Cologne — but their susceptibility in high-intensity encounters is exposed by the heavyweight loss to Bayern earlier this year.
The underlying match statistics add more colour: both teams register matches that produce goals regularly, with over-2.5 registered at 100% in the available over25Perc fields for each side. Bayern’s attacking output is notable in the dataset — averaging nearly 118 attacks and 14.67 shots per snapshot alongside impressive shots-on-target figures — while Leipzig also show an aggressive profile with higher average shots but somewhat lower conversion in the snapshots provided.
What this means for the betting market
Bookmakers clearly favour Bayern: the market shows a home price of 1.28 with an implied probability of 78.13%, while Leipzig sit out at 8.80 (11.36%) and the draw at 5.75 (17.39%). Those numbers reflect recent form, the January meeting where Bayern scored five, and Bayern’s potent attacking rhythm. For punters looking at the structure of the market it’s also wise to keep an eye on how odds and implied probabilities inform value; understanding the book’s pricing can help you decide stake size and risk management — read more about odds and probabilities in sports betting if you want a refresher on translating market prices into informed wagers. And if you’re tempted by goal-focused plays, the data suggests fertile ground for those who time entries well — check guidance on goal markets before committing.
Betting suggestion: FC Bayern München to win (1)
Based strictly on the provided data — heavy bookmaker support for Bayern, their dominant recent 5-1 victory over Leipzig, superior recent form and attacking metrics — the strongest single-market play is a straight 1X2 bet on FC Bayern München to win. The price on record (1.28) reflects a high-probability outcome according to the market and the facts in front of us. As always, manage stakes responsibly and consider situational factors on match day.
