Prediction FC Dordrecht vs Almere City 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Eerste Divisie on 03/11/2025

Context and stakes at Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion

A lively midweek fixture awaits at the compact Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion in Dordrecht as FC Dordrecht welcome Almere City on 03/11/2025. This is a clash between a mid-table home side sitting eighth with 19 points and a side battling nearer the foot of the table in 17th with just 11 points. With Erwin Blank set to take charge and a modest crowd capacity of 4,100, this game has all the ingredients for a competitive Eerste Divisie evening where fine margins will decide who leaves happy.

Form, recent results and what they mean

FC Dordrecht arrive with a mixed set of results that has oscillated between encouraging wins and disappointing defeats. Recent outings show two victories in their last five league displays, including a come-from-behind success at Helmond Sport where Jurre van Aken earned the match praise as Dordrecht overturned a halftime deficit to win 2-1. Almere City have been more inconsistent on paper — domestically struggling in the league but with a recent cup boost after a 2-0 win at Sparta Nijkerk where Tiziano Vianello stood out. That cup victory could deliver a short-term confidence spike, but their league record — three wins, two draws and eight losses from 13 — underlines defensive vulnerability.

The underlying numbers push this towards an open encounter. Dordrecht have scored 18 and conceded 17 across the season, while Almere have found the net 23 times but shipped 23. Almere’s attacking output stands out in aggregate stats: they rank higher in total shots and shots on target, and they register a higher percentage of matches with over 2.5 goals (69.23% for Almere versus 53.85% for Dordrecht). Both teams show a decent propensity to create chances, so a tight, low-scoring stalemate looks less likely than a match with multiple opportunities at both ends.

Odds, trends and a practical prediction

Bookmakers give Dordrecht a narrow edge: home win odds sit at 2.40 (implied probability ~41.7%), with Almere available at 2.70 and the draw at 3.55. The market reflects the small home advantage and Dordrecht’s slightly steadier league form. Yet the goal data tilts the picture toward open football. Almere’s tendency to be involved in high-scoring affairs combined with Dordrecht’s average goals-per-game suggests goals are likely.

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Betting suggestion: Goal market — Back Over 2.5 goals. Rationale: Almere’s high Over 2.5 rate (69.23%), both teams’ willingness to attack and the shot volume point to multiple scoring chances. If you prefer a 1X2 angle, Dordrecht at 2.40 is the safer single choice, but value and match flow favour the goals market for this pairing.