Match preview
A brisk late-January clash at Euroborg sets the scene as FC Groningen host Fortuna Sittard on 25/01/2026 (kick-off 13:30). Referee Ingmar Oostrom will take charge of a fixture that pits a confident fifth-placed Groningen against a struggling Fortuna sitting 12th. The home side arrive on the back of a 2-0 victory at SC Heerenveen, a result that underlined Groningen’s ability to grind out wins on the road and regain momentum before returning to their own stadium. Fortuna, meanwhile, were edged 2-1 by PSV in their last outing after a competitive first half that finished 1-1; Kaj Sierhuis earned the match’s best player rating for Fortuna despite the loss.
Recent form and momentum
Groningen’s recent sequence reads like an up-and-down but generally positive run: wins are interspersed with draws and a few setbacks, yet they’ve secured nine victories from 19 league matches to sit comfortably in the top third. Their form shows resilience—three wins, four draws and three losses in the last ten—while seven clean sheets highlight a defensive foundation that can frustrate visitors at Euroborg.
Fortuna’s rhythm is more erratic. In their last ten league outings they managed just two wins, suffering five defeats and drawing three. They’ve shown attacking promise—28 goals in the season—but defensive fragility is a concern; 33 goals conceded and only three clean sheets indicate vulnerability, especially away from home.
Statistical snapshot
Numbers paint a clear picture. Groningen averages more shots, more dangerous attacks and boasts better defensive returns: 14 goals scored at home versus just 7 conceded. Fortuna’s away scoring (11) is modest and their away concession tally (18) is worrying. The BTTS and Over/Under indicators tilt slightly toward matches with goals when Fortuna are involved, but Groningen’s seven clean sheets and superior home metrics make them the steadier pick.
Prediction & Betting Tips
This is a classic home-favourite scenario. Bookmakers give FC Groningen strong backing with a home-win price of 1.57 and an implied probability nearing 64%. Considering Groningen’s position (5th), superior home form, recent 2-0 away triumph and Fortuna’s defensive record, the most logical market here is the 1X2. Expect Groningen to control territory and limit Fortuna’s chances while exploiting transitions.
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Betting suggestion: Back FC Groningen to win (1X2) at 1.57. Keep stakes sensible — Groningen’s home edge and Fortuna’s leaky defence make the home win the value play here.
