Prediction FC Union Berlin vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the DFB Pokal on 29/10/2025

Context and mood at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei

A crisp autumn night in Köpenick sets the stage for a DFB Pokal second-round clash that promises drama and a clear favorite. FC Union Berlin welcome DSC Arminia Bielefeld to the Stadion An der Alten Försterei on 29 October 2025, and the bookmakers have made their voice heard: Union are installed as the likely victors at 1.67, while the draw and an Arminia upset trade at 3.80 and 4.75 respectively. Union arrive off the back of a narrow 1-0 slip-up at Werder Bremen, a result that stung but also highlighted their competitiveness in the Bundesliga. Arminia, meanwhile, will travel with confidence after a 2-0 win over Elversberg in the 2. Bundesliga, but their season has been more rollercoaster than a straight line.

Form, stats and what they tell us

The recent sequences for both teams are noisy: Union’s ten-game readout shows a mixture of wins, draws and defeats that underline resilience but also inconsistency. Arminia’s pattern is similarly jagged, although the visitors boast the freshness of a clean, clinical 2-0 victory in midweek. Statistically, Union edge the attacking metrics on shots and danger creation — 16 total shots and a higher quota of efforts inside the box — while Arminia’s numbers point to a team capable of springing forward with intent, yet less clinical in finishing. Clean sheets are thin on both sides, suggesting moments of defensive vulnerability that could be decisive in cup football. The last DFB Pokal meeting between these sides ended 2-0, but that result alone is not a blueprint for this edition; momentum and Bundesliga quality tilt the scales.

Tactical feeling and the small details

Cup ties often magnify the small advantages: home comfort, matchday routine and the crowd’s voice. Union have the home ground edge at a compact 22,012-capacity stadium where noise and familiarity count for more than pure squad depth. Arminia’s traveling underdog status can inspire them to be direct and energetic, but Union’s recent domestic fixtures show they can grind out results even when not at their fluent best. Key performances in recent rounds have been singled out — Danilho Doekhi earned plaudits for Union in their last league outing, while Tim Handwerker impressed for Arminia in their 2-0 win — and those individual contributions could swing tight moments in this knockout setting.

For those wanting to refine market choice and approach, our overview on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets is a useful primer, and if you’re evaluating alternative lines the explainer What does it mean the handicap market in sports betting? offers perspective on risk and value.

Betting suggestion: Back FC Union Berlin to win (1X2 market). The home advantage, superior chance-creation numbers and the bookmakers’ clear lean — reflected in a 1.67 price — make Union the sensible selection in a cup tie where control of the midfield and set-piece moments are likely to decide the tie.