Context and form: a David vs Goliath feel at Kras Stadion
There is a crisp winter air hanging over Volendam as the Kras Stadion prepares to host a showdown that looks, on paper, decidedly tilted. FC Volendam welcome PSV on 13 February 2026 with Sander van der Eijk appointed to take charge. Volendam sit 15th in the Eredivisie table after 22 matches, a side that has scraped together five wins and six draws but surrendered 37 goals in the process. Their recent results have been mixed: a morale-boosting away win at PEC Zwolle on 7 February was tempered by losses to NEC and Ajax earlier in the month and a draw with Go Ahead Eagles. That inconsistency has left the home crowd nervous; Kras Stadion holds 7,384 and will be itching for a performance to arrest a run that shows only three wins in the latest sequence of ten fixtures.
PSV arrive as the clear league heavyweights, perched at the summit with 59 points from 22 matches, boasting 19 wins and a meretricious attack producing 66 goals so far. Their form is authoritative — wins against FC Groningen, SC Heerenveen and Feyenoord in recent weeks — and even a narrow loss to Bayern München cannot disguise the strength of this squad in domestic action. Joey Veerman was the standout in their last win, and PSV’s capacity to turn matches into goal-fests is reflected in an 81.8% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals this season. The head-to-head memory is fresh: PSV swept aside Volendam 3-0 in November, reinforcing the sense of superiority.
Tactical outlook and goal expectations
Volendam have shown a propensity for open games at home — their matches have a healthy over-2.5 frequency and a decent BTTS record, particularly when they host. But their defensive record at home (14 conceded) paired with only one clean sheet underlines vulnerability. PSV’s attacking numbers away from home are impressive: 30 goals scored on the road and just 10 conceded, suggesting a side that knows how to impose itself even outside their Philips Stadion comfort zone. Taken together, the statistics point toward an entertaining affair with goals likely on both ends at some point; Volendam can score at Kras Stadion but historically struggle to keep PSV at bay.
Market view and how to approach this game
Bookmakers have made their intentions clear: PSV are overwhelming favourites at 1.25 to take the three points, with draw and home prices offering greater value only if you believe in a major upset. For bettors who prefer to focus on goals, the data leans heavily toward an open contest — both teams have shown inclination to participate in high-scoring matches this term. If you want to refine your approach further, consult detailed resources such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets to match your risk appetite, and remember that temperament matters when lines shift, so reading advice on How to have emotional control when placing bets? can keep your staking sensible.
Betting suggestion: Back PSV to win (1X2). The probability and market odds are strongly aligned: PSV’s 80% implied chance and the 1.25 price reflect dominance across form, head-to-head and goalscoring metrics. If you prefer a goals market, consider Over 2.5 goals as an alternative — both teams have high over-2.5 frequencies and previous encounters have produced multiple goals. Stake conservatively and factor in Volendam’s home resilience and the small but real chance of an upset, but the clearest, data-backed play for this fixture is a PSV victory.
