Prediction Fenerbahçe vs VfB Stuttgart 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 23/10/2025

A heavyweight Europa League test in Istanbul

Fenerbahçe welcome VfB Stuttgart to the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium on 23 October in what promises to be a high-energy Europa League meeting. Both sides arrive level on points in the group after two games — one win and one defeat each — but the narratives that have unfolded in recent weeks suggest this will be a combative, tactical fight where home comfort could well be decisive. Fenerbahçe have been steadier domestically, turning in a 2-1 win against Fatih Karagümrük in their latest outing with Marco Asensio singled out as the pick of the bunch, while Stuttgart arrive on the back of a statement 3-0 Bundesliga win where Angelo Stiller delivered an eye-catching performance.

Form, firepower and the midfield battle

On paper Stuttgart bring considerable attacking teeth to Istanbul. Their season metrics show a team that generates a high volume of chances — nearly double the shots per game compared with Fenerbahçe and a far higher dangerous attacks average — and they have demonstrated they can finish with authority in the Bundesliga. Yet those attacking numbers have been mixed in the European sample: Stuttgart’s group goals total sits lower than you might expect, and their away goal figures in the continental competition are yet to build momentum.

Fenerbahçe’s pathway looks more balanced. At home they’ve produced enough to win matches and, crucially, they carry the backing of a large, vocal stadium that often swings tight European ties. The Turkish side’s recent domestic results show a side capable of regular scoring but not immune to conceding, and their Europa outings have been patchy — a heavy loss to Dinamo Zagreb still points to vulnerability against a sharp, quick-pressing opponent.

Why the home edge looks appealing

Stuttgart’s attacking metrics are impressive, but the small sample size in the group and their variable form away from home in Europe tip the scales toward the hosts in a single-match scenario. The bookmakers have Fenerbahçe as the narrow favorite, and that aligns with the sense that Istanbul’s atmosphere and the home side’s recent domestic momentum could be enough to tilt a tight contest.

Betting suggestion: Back Fenerbahçe to win (1X2 market). The home advantage in a packed Şükrü Saracoğlu, combined with Fenerbahçe’s solid domestic rhythm and Stuttgart’s inconsistent European away output, makes the home victory the most sensible single-market play from the available data.