Prediction Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga BetPlay on 24/10/2025

Match overview

Fortaleza CEIF welcome Deportivo Pasto to the Estadio Metropolitano de Techo in Bogotá on 24/10/2025 for a Clausura round 17 showdown that pits a confident mid-table side against a team desperately trying to climb out of the relegation mire. The bookies have made Fortaleza clear favourites (1.74, implied probability 57.47%), with the draw trading at 3.30 and Pasto a long shot at 5.20. On paper and in form, this one looks tilted toward the hosts: Fortaleza sit 5th with 28 points from 16 matches (7 wins, 7 draws, 2 losses), while Deportivo Pasto languish 18th with just 13 points (2 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses).

Form and recent meetings

Fortaleza arrive with a steady run of results — a blend of wins and draws with occasional setbacks — illustrated by their recent string that includes a 1-0 win over Boyacá Chicó and a narrow 3-1 defeat at Independiente Medellín on 17 October. That defeat exposed defensive chinks but didn’t derail a side that has shown resilience throughout the campaign. Deportivo Pasto’s recent slate reads like a struggle for consistency: three consecutive draws of note (including a 2-2 with Atlético Nacional) but also heavy reversals such as the 4-0 loss at Once Caldas and a 2-0 defeat to Junior. The head-to-head from earlier this year in May favours Pasto — a 1-0 victory — but the context of this Clausura clash and current trajectories favour the home side.

Statistics that matter

Fortaleza’s home numbers are respectable: 21 goals scored at home and only 14 conceded, while their overall record shows a team hard to beat (7 victories and 7 draws from 16). Pasto’s goals balance tells a tougher story — 11 goals away and 24 conceded on the road — and their recent form register of one win, four draws and five defeats across the last ten matches highlights vulnerability. Goal markets also lean toward modest scoring: Fortaleza’s matches have produced over 2.5 goals about 36% of the time, Pasto’s around 42%, suggesting many of Pasto’s fixtures have been cagey or inconsistent rather than goal fests.

Betting suggestion

Back Fortaleza CEIF to win (1X2 market — Home). The home side’s stronger league position, steadier form and the bookmaker’s clear confidence (1.74) make the outright home victory the most logical play. Given Pasto’s defensive lapses away and limited wins this season, Fortaleza to claim three points offers value as the primary betting pick.