Fortaleza CEIF returns to Estadio Metropolitano de Techo with the kind of consistency that has marked their Clausura campaign. Sitting fifth in the table after nine games, Fortaleza have collected 15 points and, crucially, show no defeats recorded in the group phase. Their recent results read like a resilient side: a solitary loss in the broader run of results but otherwise loaded with draws and the odd victory, including a convincing 2-0 win over Santa Fe and a 2-2 stalemate with Atl. Nacional. Those frequent draws underline a team difficult to break down — the statistics back that up, with ten clean sheets recorded and a defensive profile that has conceded nine goals overall in the group.
La Equidad arrive with a markedly different story. Placed 14th and short on points, their form over the last fixtures is uneven and leaky. Recent outings have produced a mix of draws and losses, and while they showed glimpses — a 2-1 win over Llaneros and a goalless draw with Deportivo Pasto — their away numbers suggest vulnerability: a higher tally of goals conceded on the road and fewer wins. The last head-to-head in June ended in a 2-0 success for Fortaleza, a scoreline that will linger in Equidad’s memory and feed into Fortaleza’s confidence.
Both sides live on relatively modest attacking returns in this phase of the campaign, but they diverge when you look deeper. Fortaleza’s attack has found 13 goals in the group while their defensive solidity is reflected in a strong clean-sheet count. La Equidad, by contrast, has struggled to convert opportunities consistently and has conceded more, particularly away from home where the numbers point to defensive frailties. The bookmakers have reacted accordingly: Fortaleza are the clear favorites with odds around 1.82 (implied probability roughly 55%), while the visitors are available at longer prices.
Expect a tactical, cagey affair tilted in favor of the hosts. Fortaleza’s unbeaten group record, home comfort in Bogotá, and their ability to keep clean sheets give them the edge. La Equidad can frustrate and nick moments, but the weight of form and the head-to-head history point toward a home victory.
Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Home (Fortaleza CEIF to win).
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