Match preview: a clash with survival stakes at Merkur Spiel-Arena
Fortuna Düsseldorf welcome Preußen Münster to the Merkur Spiel-Arena on 13/02/2026 in what promises to be a lively 2. Bundesliga encounter. Both sides sit perilously close in the lower reaches of the table — Fortuna 13th on 24 points and Preußen 16th on 22 — and every point from here feels like a small cup final. Düsseldorf arrive with a mixture of momentum and vulnerability: recent results show the team can grind out wins (three victories in their last five) but have also suffered patches of inconsistency. Preußen, meanwhile, are stubborn to break down and draw frequently; their last five league outings have produced a high share of stalemates, underlining a team that is hard to beat but also struggles to turn matches into maximum returns.
Form and statistics: edge to the home side, but goals likely
The underlying numbers paint a tight picture. Fortuna have produced 20 goals and conceded 31 across 21 matches, while Preußen have been involved in slightly more open affairs with 25 scored and 32 conceded. Shot volumes and attacking averages are close: Fortuna average about 93 attacks per game with 46 dangerous attacks, while Preußen generate roughly 88 attacks but fewer dangerous opportunities — a subtle advantage for the hosts in chance quality. Both teams show a decent frequency of over 2.5-goal games (around 52–57%), indicating that this fixture often tilts toward multiple goals. BTTS figures are also balanced: Fortuna’s home BTTS sits around 50% and Preußen’s away BTTS near 44%, suggesting both sides can score but also leak chances.
H2H context adds spice: the two met earlier in the season when Fortuna grabbed a 2-1 away victory, proving they can prevail at Preußen and have the temperament to win close contests. Recent individual highlights include Cedric Itten’s notable performance in Fortuna’s draw with Karlsruher SC and Johannes Schenk’s strong showing for Preußen in their stalemate with VfL Bochum — reminders that decisive moments and goalkeeping quality can swing the tie.
Tactical outlook and what to expect
Expect Fortuna to press for control at home, using superior dangerous-attack numbers to create openings. Preußen will likely set up compactly, invite pressure, and aim to strike on the break or force a draw through organised defending and set-pieces. Given the table pressure on both sides, the intensity will be high and refereeing decisions could become pivotal late on.
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Betting suggestion: Back Fortuna Düsseldorf (Home) in the 1X2 market. The home side’s edge in dangerous attacks, a favourable head-to-head, and slightly better recent outcomes make the 1.95 price for a Fortuna win the clearest value play from the available markets.
