Prediction Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the DFB Pokal on 29/10/2025

Preview: cup clash in the Merkur Spiel-Arena

A crisp autumn evening in Düsseldorf sets the stage for a DFB Pokal second round tie that looks tilted on paper: Fortuna Düsseldorf, battling inconsistent form in the 2. Bundesliga, host Bundesliga side SC Freiburg at the Merkur Spiel-Arena on 29/10/2025. The loudspeaker will announce Felix Zwayer as referee, and with a capacity of 54,600 the arena can become an intimidating backdrop — although recent results suggest the home crowd may be left wanting. Fortuna arrive having lost three of their last five competitive matches, including a narrow 1-0 reverse at Hertha BSC on 25 October, where Florent Muslija was the standout performer for the visitors. The run of results reads painfully: losses to Nürnberg and Eintracht Braunschweig sandwiching a rare win over VfL Bochum.

Freiburg’s temperament and tactical edge

SC Freiburg travel north after a mixed set of fixtures but with more consistency than their hosts. Freiburg’s recent slate shows a 2-0 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen on 26 October, but that defeat follows a 2-0 win over FC Utrecht and a string of draws in league and European fixtures that indicates a side hard to break down. The numbers underline a disciplined profile: fewer shots overall than Fortuna but solid defensive returns, reflected in an away clean sheet and a higher overall attack metric. Derry Scherhant was noted as the best player in Leverkusen’s win, which underlines the contest’s competitive context — Freiburg will not be coming merely to survive.

Key trends and what the bookies think

Bookmakers are siding with the visitors. The match winner market gives SC Freiburg 1.90, a probability calculation that places them as favorites; the draw and home win are priced at 3.55 and 3.80 respectively. Head-to-head history is sparse in the provided data, but a past Bundesliga meeting in 2020 ended 2-0 to Freiburg — a neat reminder of where advantage may lie. Statistically, Fortuna have produced more total shots in the sample provided, but their form and recent results raise questions about conversion and resilience. Freiburg’s cleaner defensive footprint and steadier set of outcomes across competitions make them the side you’d trust in a one-off cup tie on Fortuna’s patch.

Final analysis and betting suggestion

This tie reads like an away-favoring cup game: the superior league status, steadier form, and market pricing all push toward Freiburg. For punters focused on market selection, a look at broader strategy can help — see practical advice on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets when deciding whether to back match winners or explore alternatives. If you’re experimenting with payment and staking methods, resources such as How the betting method involving cryptocurrencies works can be useful for bankroll flexibility.

Betting suggestion: back SC Freiburg in the 1X2 market at the available price (Away — 1.90). The combination of form, recent defensive stability, and the bookmakers’ probability points to a sensible value play on the visitors to progress in the DFB Pokal.