Match context: momentum and recent form in Ankara
Gençlerbirliği host Eyüpspor at Eryaman Stadyumu on 04/02/2026 with clear momentum on their side. The hosts arrive off a morale-boosting 2-1 league victory over Gaziantep F.K. and sit comfortably in the Turkish Cup group with two wins from two matches. Their recent sequence is impressive — seven wins, two draws and only one loss in the last ten outings — and that sustained confidence will matter in a knockout-format atmosphere. Eyüpspor, by contrast, have shown flashes of potency, including an eye-catching 3-1 victory at Alanyaspor, but their cup group form is mixed: one win and one defeat leaves them fourth in the group and asking questions about consistency.
What the numbers say
On paper, Gençlerbirliği dominate the market as the bookmakers’ favorite (home odds 1.73, roughly a 57.8% implied probability). Their attacking output at home in cup and league action has been productive: three goals scored at home, six away, with an average of 10 total shots and 15 shots on target reflected across recent data. Eyüpspor are far from passive — 29 total shots across recent fixtures with 12 on target and a robust tendency for higher-scoring games (their over 2.5 percentage sits at 100% in the available snapshot). Both sides have delivered goals frequently; Eyüpspor’s recent results include a 3-1 road win and a 2-2 draw with Beşiktaş, while Gençlerbirliği have alternated tight defensive displays with clinical finishing.
Head-to-head memory also nudges the prediction: the last meeting finished 1-0 to Gençlerbirliği in September, a narrow result that suggests matches between these sides can be competitive but decisive. The shot and goals metrics favour a contest that produces chances for both teams, and Eyüpspor’s recent road form shows they are capable of breaking down opponents away from home.
Tactical expectation and key match-ups
Expect Gençlerbirliği to lean on home territory and movement through wide areas and set-piece moments inside a stadium that holds about 20,560 fans. Their lower fouls average and higher dangerous attacks average indicate a controlled, positive approach. Eyüpspor bring a more direct attacking threat and have demonstrated they can score multiple goals away from home in the Super Lig context. Players singled out in recent matches — Sékou Koïta for Gençlerbirliği and Talha Ülvan for Eyüpspor — have been decisive contributors and their recent best-player ratings underline each side’s ability to change the game.
If you’re considering market selection, take time to study timing for goal-based selections; a useful primer can be found at this guide on The right time to place bets on goal markets. For a broader approach to allocating stake and choosing markets, see these Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets.
Prediction and betting suggestion
This game projects as a lively cup tie where home advantage and recent consistency give Gençlerbirliği the edge for a win. However, the attacking profiles and over-rate stats for both clubs point strongly to multiple goals. The clean-sheet count (Gençlerbirliği with two, Eyüpspor none) and Eyüpspor’s 100% over 2.5 indicator in recent games make a goals market appealing.
Betting suggestion (goal market): Back Over 2.5 goals. Rationale: sustained attacking numbers from both teams, Eyüpspor’s recent multi-goal performances, and Gençlerbirliği’s positive home scoring trend make Over 2.5 the more attractive value play than taking the home straight win at short odds. Stake sensibly and consider in-play opportunities if the first half opens cagey — momentum and late goals are realistic in this cup tie.
