Prediction Genoa vs Parma 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for Serie A on 19/10/2025

Match context and mood in Genoa

Genoa return to Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris under pressure and with form that raises more questions than answers. Sitting 19th after six games, the Grifone have failed to record a league win this season and have scraped just two draws from a campaign that has yielded three goals and nine conceded. Recent results reveal a side that can spring a surprise — the 3-1 triumph over Empoli stands out — but more often they have been overrun, as shown by losses at Bologna and a heavy 3-0 reverse to Lazio. Their last outing, a 2-1 loss at Napoli, offered encouraging signs in the first half when Brooke Norton-Cuffy earned praise as the match’s best player, but the second-half weathering of pressure underlines Genoa’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Parma’s season: fragile but sharper on the road

Parma arrive with a slightly healthier return in the table — 15th with five points — but their campaign has been patchy. The Ducali have shown resilience, claiming a narrow victory over Torino and an emotionally charged penalty shootout win against Spezia after a 2-2 draw, yet they have also fallen to tight defeats and managed only a single clean sheet. Their recent 0-1 loss to Lecce highlighted that Parma can be blunt in attack away from home; in fact both Genoa and Parma have managed only three goals apiece across six matches. Parma’s previous match featured Zion Suzuki earning plaudits as his side’s top performer, but attacking fluency remains a concern.

Tactics, trends and what to expect

Numbers paint a cautious picture. Both sides are struggling for goals — combined team scoring rates are modest and over 2.5 goals occurrences across Parma’s games have been rare. Genoa’s home numbers are mixed: they create decent volume but concede at a worrying rate, while Parma’s away output has been limited despite generating more dangerous attacks on average. The only recent Serie A meeting this year ended 1-0 in Genoa’s favour, a reminder that this fixture can be tight and low-scoring.

Where the bookies sit is notable: Genoa are the slight favourites at 2.10, with a draw priced at 3.00 and Parma a long shot at 3.80. That reflects expectation of a close contest but with Genoa’s home edge nudging the market.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect a cagey, closely fought encounter with chances at a premium. Defensive frailties exist, but attacking punch has been limited on both sides, and recent head-to-heads favour low totals. The best value here is on the goals market: back Under 2.5 goals. It aligns with the teams’ low scoring records, recent 1-0 and 0-0 scorelines, and the market’s indication of a tight affair. Play cautiously and stake responsibly — this looks like a game where one moment decides it, not a goal glut.