Prediction Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on 01/09/2025

Preview: La Plata showdown under the floodlights

Under the lights of Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, Gimnasia La Plata welcome Atlético Tucumán in a Round 7 clash of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol’s 2nd Phase. The fixture has the feel of a classic Argentinian scrap — local pride, a packed 24,544-capacity ground and a referee in Pablo Dóvalo who will be tasked with keeping a heated contest under control. Gimnasia arrive sitting ninth in the group with seven points from six games; Atlético Tucumán are a couple of places and two points better off in seventh. On paper, the bookmakers make the home side marginal favorites, but the raw numbers tell a more nuanced story.

Form and recent meetings

Gimnasia’s recent run has been patchy: a narrow 1-0 reverse at San Martín San Juan is their latest result, capped by mixed outcomes in the preceding weeks — victories over Godoy Cruz and Independiente offset by defeats to Lanús and San Martín. Their season totals show a modest attack with four goals in six matches and five conceded. Atlético Tucumán, meanwhile, head into La Plata full of confidence after a convincing 3-0 win over Talleres Córdoba. They have already scored eight goals in the campaign and conceded five, demonstrating a more potent forward threat and an ability to pick up points away from home.

H2H history tilts slightly in Atlético’s favor this season; earlier in the campaign they recorded a 1-0 victory over Gimnasia, a result that adds weight to their psychological edge ahead of another meeting.

Tactical undertow: stats that matter

The underlying metrics cast Atlético as the more aggressive outfit. They average more total shots (257 vs 229) and significantly more efforts on target (87 vs 61), and their over-2.5 games percentage (45.45%) suggests they are more likely to be involved in higher-scoring matches than Gimnasia (27.27%). Yet Gimnasia’s home profile shows they are far from porous — they have a decent BTTS record when playing at home (60% BTTS home percentage) and have managed clean sheets intermittently. Atlético’s recent ability to finish chances, illustrated by their 3-0 romp against Talleres and the best-player outing of Matías Mansilla in that match, means Gimnasia will be tested.

Where the edge lies

This is likely to be a closely fought game with momentum swinging either way. Gimnasia will rely on home support and a pragmatic setup to stifle Atlético’s attack, while Tucumán will look to press higher, take advantage of their superior shot output and exploit moments on the break. Renzo Giampaoli’s notable performance in Gimnasia’s previous outing highlights that the hosts can produce game-defining individuals, but Atlético arrive with more consistent attacking returns.

Betting suggestion Given the mix of attacking intent from Atlético Tucumán and the tendency for Gimnasia’s home fixtures to see both sides find the net, the most compelling market here is the goals market. Back: Both Teams To Score — Yes. The statistics point to an encounter where Atlético’s shot volume and recent form will likely force Gimnasia to concede, while Gimnasia’s BTTS home record and the tight margins in recent head-to-heads suggest they can also get on the scoresheet.