Prediction Girona vs Real Oviedo 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for La Liga on 25/10/2025

Match context and form guide

Girona welcome Real Oviedo to the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi on 25 October 2025 in what shapes up as a vital bottom-of-the-table clash in La Liga's Round 10. Both clubs arrive with just six points from nine matches and heavy defensive worries: Girona have conceded 19 goals while Oviedo have shipped 16. The Catalans sit 20th and Oviedo 19th, meaning pride, panic and urgency will be ingredients for a tense afternoon at a 14,624-capacity Montilivi.

Girona’s recent results paint a mixed picture — a morale-boosting 2-1 home win over Valencia sits alongside a 2-1 defeat to Barcelona and a run of results that have left them with one win, three draws and six losses in their last ten. Their attacking output is limited overall (6 goals in nine matches), but home numbers show a slightly better edge: three goals scored at Montilivi versus ten conceded. Statistically Girona bring more teeth in the attacking phase, averaging 78 attacks and 37.22 dangerous attacks per game, backed by 85 total shots and 32 on target across the campaign.

Oviedo, meanwhile, have managed just four goals all season and have won only twice. They are a side that struggles to find the net away from home — only two away goals so far — and their away defensive ledger reads six conceded on the road. Their shot volume is respectable (79 total shots) but fewer shots inside the box than Girona (45 versus 57), and their conversion has been scarce. Recent form for Oviedo has been harsh: two wins in ten with a string of losses, including a 2-0 reverse to Espanyol last time out where Aarón Escandell was Oviedo’s best-rated performer despite the loss.

Tactical outlook and key metrics

This fixture is likely to be contested in Girona’s half more often; Girona’s averages in attacks and dangerous attacks suggest they will try to control tempo and probe Oviedo’s fragile defence. Both teams have shown susceptibility at the back, which could open the door to chances, but goal returns from both sides have been low overall. Girona’s slightly higher over-2.5 frequency (55.56% compared to Oviedo’s 33.33%) indicates matches they are involved in trend towards more goals, especially at home.

Final call — the bookmakers reflect this balance. Girona are clear favorites at 1.82 for the home win with implied probability near 55%, while a draw or away victory carry longer odds.

Betting suggestion (1X2) Girona to win (Home) @ 1.82. Girona’s home attacking intent, superior attacking metrics and the clear bookmaker support make them the likeliest winner in a match where both teams need points and Oviedo’s away scoring struggles could be decisive. Consider a conservative stake given both teams’ defensive frailties.