Prediction Girona vs Sevilla 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for La Liga on 30/08/2025

Form and context: two teams desperate for a response

Girona arrive at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi reeling from a difficult start to the 2025/2026 La Liga campaign. Two league outings, two defeats, a single goal scored and eight conceded paint a bleak picture: Girona sit bottom of the table and the recent 5-0 reverse at Villarreal underlined defensive fragility and a squad that is short on confidence. Their pre-season and friendly results have also not provided much cheer, with a string of losses against quality opposition. Sevilla, meanwhile, are only marginally better on paper — also without a point after two matches and sitting 18th — but their recent run carries a different tone. Draws against the likes of Toulouse and Olympique Marseille peppered their summer, and even in defeat they have shown the capacity to get on the scoresheet. A narrow 1-2 away victory over Girona earlier this year is a reminder that Sevilla can take advantage when Girona are vulnerable.

Statistical edge and match outlook

The underlying numbers suggest this will be an open game. Sevilla average twice as many total shots as Girona (24 to 12) and more than double the shots on target (9 to 4), signalling that they create clearer chances and should trouble Girona’s backline. Both sides have failed to keep a clean sheet so far, and both teams’ matches have produced goals — over 2.5 outcomes have featured consistently in the recent fixtures listed for both clubs. Head-to-head history from earlier in 2025 also favours Sevilla, who took a 2-1 win at Girona in January, and that result will give them belief that they can nick another positive result on the road.

For Girona, the task is straightforward but urgent: shore up the defence and avoid another heavy scoreline in front of a modest home crowd at Montilivi. Sevilla must press the advantage offered by superior attacking metrics and look to exploit the spaces left by a home side attempting to chase the game. Expect tactical shifts early on from both managers as they seek to arrest poor starts to the season; that could open the door to end-to-end action rather than a cagey stalemate.

Betting suggestion: Over 2.5 goals. The combination of Girona’s porous defence, Sevilla’s greater volume of shots on target, recent high-scoring results for both teams and the recent 1-2 head-to-head point to an open match where multiple goals are likely.