Prediction Granada vs Las Palmas 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the La Liga 2 on 10/10/2025

Match context and recent trajectory

Granada welcome Las Palmas to the Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes on 10/10/2025 in a clash that already feels like a test of character for the home side. The hosts sit uncomfortably in 18th spot after eight rounds, collecting just eight points from a 2-2-4 record and shipping 15 goals. Their most recent result — a thumping 5-2 victory over Real Sociedad II — offered a rare glimpse of attacking life and featured Álex Sola as the standout performer, but it has not erased a run that, by the numbers, has been far too inconsistent for comfort. At home Granada have scored seven and conceded nine, with only a single clean sheet to their name; that defensive fragility has been a recurring theme this season.

Las Palmas arrive in better shape, perched fifth in the table with 14 points from four wins, two draws and two losses. They’ve shown defensive discipline on the road — only one goal conceded away so far and three clean sheets overall — and their most recent outing produced a narrow 1-0 success against Cádiz where Sergio Barcia earned top billing. Statistically, the visitors edge Granada in attacking activity and quality in the final third: their averages for total attacks and dangerous attacks sit higher, and they’ve mustered a similar volume of shots while conceding fewer. Those underlying numbers underpin Las Palmas’ steady start and make them a legitimate threat in this encounter.

Tactical narrative and game feel

Expect a contrast in styles and aims. Granada will feel obliged to push for attacking momentum at home after a morale-boosting win, which could open spaces behind and invite Las Palmas to exploit transitions. The away team’s defensive record suggests they can absorb pressure and strike on the counter or through moments of control in the opponent’s half. Granada’s tendency toward high-scoring affairs at times this season (their over 2.5 rate sits above 60%) clashes with Las Palmas’ more conservative away profile (just 25% over 2.5 so far), so the game could hinge on whether Granada find rhythm early or if Las Palmas impose their structure and squeeze the scoring out of the contest.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Bookmakers give Granada a slight edge on home odds, but the broader picture points to value backing Las Palmas to get a result away from home. The visitors combine defensive solidity on the road, higher attacking intent in the numbers, and the composure of recent narrow wins — the kind of profile that counters Granada’s inconsistent defensive form. For punters looking for a clear angle, the best pick from the available markets is a 1X2 selection: back Las Palmas to win. The odds around 2.95 represent attractive value relative to the balance of form and statistics, and it’s a bet that fits the matchup narrative — a tidy, pragmatic away side exploiting a home team that still looks porous at the back.