Grenoble Foot 38 welcome Annecy to the Stade des Alpes on 19 September in what promises to be a nervy, tightly contested Ligue 2 affair. Both clubs sit on five points from five matches, separated only by a couple of places in the table — Grenoble occupying 13th and Annecy 15th — and that parity shapes expectations for a cautious contest. Grenoble arrive off a morale-boosting 1-0 victory over Dunkerque where Stone Muzalimoja Mambo earned top billing with a commanding display. Annecy, meanwhile, drew 1-1 with Reims in their most recent outing, a match in which Florian Escales stood out between the posts to help the visitors secure a share of the spoils. Those recent results underline two sides capable of grinding out results rather than producing free-scoring fireworks.
The underlying numbers paint a picture of limited attacking output and compact games. Grenoble have scored five and conceded six across five fixtures; their home goals tally remains modest. Annecy are similarly low on goals with four scored and six conceded. Shot volumes suggest Grenoble create more overall attempts, but Annecy have been active in dangerous areas too, reflected in a higher dangerous attacks average. Despite those attacking forays, both teams’ over-2.5 percentages are restrained — Grenoble registering around 40% and Annecy closer to 20% — which hints at matches that frequently fail to explode into multiple-goal affairs. Clean sheets are rare but present for both sides, and both teams have a recent tendency toward low-scoring outcomes: draws, single-goal wins and the odd 2-2 show discipline at the back and an absence of prolific finishing.
The last league meeting saw Annecy triumph 3-1 at home in May, a result that could boost their belief when visiting Grenoble. Yet the immediate momentum swings in Grenoble’s favour after their latest victory; home advantage at the Stade des Alpes — capacity just over 20,000 — may prove influential in a match where marginal gains count. The bookmakers have nudged Grenoble into favour with odds around 2.30 for the win, while the draw and an away success sit slightly higher. That market positioning mirrors the pragmatic reality: this should be a cagey contest decided by small margins.
Based on the low scoring trends, subdued over-2.5 percentages, recent scorelines and the evenly matched league table positions, the best value lies in the goal market. Back Under 2.5 goals in Grenoble vs Annecy. This selection aligns with both teams’ tendencies to play out tight affairs and recent results that favour narrow scorelines rather than goal fests.
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