Prediction Grenoble Foot 38 vs Pau 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ligue 2 on 17/10/2025

Form and Stakes: Pau the Ascendant, Grenoble Hunting Consistency

Grenoble Foot 38 welcome Pau to the Stade des Alpes on October 17 in a clash that on paper pits a mid-table side scrambling for momentum against one of Ligue 2’s in-form outfits. Grenoble arrive 14th with nine points from nine matches and a patchy recent sequence that reads as a rollercoaster: an eye-catching 4-2 win away at Reims followed by a series of draws and defeats that underline a team still searching for rhythm. Pau, by contrast, sit third with 20 points and a rich vein of form — six wins from nine and recent victories that include a convincing 3-1 triumph over Clermont. The gap in confidence and consistency is palpable.

Numbers Tell a Story: Attack, Defence and What the Metrics Mean

Statistically Pau hold the upper hand. They have produced more shots, more shots on target and more goals across the campaign, showing both potency and control in the final third. Pau’s goals tally and higher shots averages suggest an attack that can turn chances into real danger, while four clean sheets demonstrate defensive resilience. Grenoble have shown flashes — notably their 4-2 away win — but their goals conceded figure and a slimmer shots-on-target return point to vulnerabilities at the back. The head-to-head earlier this year tilted Pau’s way with a 1-0 success, a reminder that Pau have already managed to impose their game on Grenoble.

Game Shape and Expected Flow

Expect Pau to press and probe early, forcing Grenoble into defensive decisions at the Stade des Alpes. Grenoble’s home record shows they can grind out results and have produced low-scoring encounters, but inconsistency in the backline could be punished by Pau’s steady attacking output. Over/under indicators suggest a decent chance of multiple goals — Pau’s matches have trended toward more than two goals, and Grenoble’s recent scorelines are proof they can both concede and score. The presence of standout contributors in recent fixtures — Matthéo Xantippe for Grenoble in their win over Reims and Giovani Versini for Pau in their win over Clermont — highlights that decisive performers on either side can swing momentum.

Referee and Atmosphere

Brendan Roffet takes charge at a Stade des Alpes expecting a full-blooded Ligue 2 atmosphere. Venue capacity and the local crowd could energize Grenoble, but Pau’s professional consistency suggests they can handle an away test and execute a pragmatic, attacking plan.

Betting suggestion

Based on current form, squad momentum and the bookmakers’ pricing, the clearest value lies in the 1X2 market: back Pau to win (Away) at the given odds of 2.45. Pau’s sustained run of victories, superior shots and goals metrics, plus a recent head-to-head triumph, all point to them carrying the greater probability of victory in this fixture.