Prediction Grimsby Town vs Brentford 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Carabao Cup on 28/10/2025

Cup night at Blundell Park sets up a classic David vs Goliath clash

Grimsby Town will welcome Brentford to Blundell Park on 28 October in Round 4 of the Carabao Cup, and the occasion promises the kind of drama cup football thrives on. Under the floodlights in Cleethorpes and with Thomas Kirk in charge, the Mariners will need everything on their side if they are to topple a Brentford side that arrives brimming with confidence after a string of eye-catching results. The history books show a solitary competitive meeting dating back to 2009 that ended 1-0 to Brentford; while sparse, that headline points to an away team that has visited Grimsby and come away with a result before.

Form, recent results and match rhythms

Grimsby arrive after a 3-2 defeat at Crewe on 25 October, a match that produced goals but left the home crowd to wonder what might have been. That result followed a narrow home win and a couple of setbacks in a patchy run of league fixtures. The underlying numbers show Grimsby generate plenty of shots—an average of 13 per game and 16 shots on target across their sample—suggesting a side willing to get forward and create chances in home fixtures. They have also seen a healthy share of high-scoring affairs, with over 2.5 goals landing in two of their more recent matches.

Brentford, meanwhile, have been superb in recent fixtures at the top level; their late October scalp of Liverpool, a 3-2 victory, underlines a team capable of producing top-tier attacking performances on the big stage. Statistically they post fewer shots than Grimsby on average, but their recent results indicate an efficient streak—turning promising moments into decisive outcomes. Across the recent sample Brentford show consistency in picking up wins, and their ability to lift performance levels in high-profile matches cannot be ignored.

Tactical outlook and what to expect on the night

Expect Brentford to control much of the game’s tempo and to look for early opportunities to unsettle Grimsby’s backline. Grimsby’s edge will be in numbers forward and set-piece work at Blundell Park; those elements could make the difference in a cup tie where small moments turn into match-defining ones. Given the raw poise Brentford have shown against strong opposition in recent weeks, they will head into this fixture as clear favorites both in eyes and in the market.

Betting suggestion: Back Brentford to win (Away) on the 1X2 market. The bookmakers price Brentford at 1.34 with an implied probability of roughly 74.6%, reflecting their recent form and the momentum from notable victories. This pick favours the away side’s efficiency and consistency while acknowledging Grimsby’s capacity to create chances at home; for a cup tie where Brentford have shown they can lift for big matches, the away win is the most data-backed selection.