Prediction Haiti vs Costa Rica 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Concacaf on 14/11/2025

Match context and recent form

Haiti welcome Costa Rica in what promises to be a decisive Round 3 clash of the 2026 WC Qualification Concacaf on 14/11/2025. On paper the visitors arrive as the steadier outfit: Costa Rica sit second in the group with six points from four matches, unbeaten so far with one win and three draws. Their attacking numbers are impressive across the campaign — a total of eight goals scored and only five conceded — and their recent 4-1 win over Nicaragua provided a timely confidence boost, with Manfred Ugalde earning plaudits after an 8.09 match rating.

Haiti, placed third with five points, have shown flashes of attacking promise but lack the same consistency. Their four matches produced six goals for and six against; results are mixed, highlighted by a heavy 3-0 loss to Honduras in mid-October. The island side’s recent run reads like a rollercoaster: wins, draws and defeats interspersed, suggesting a team capable of shocking blows but also vulnerable at the back.

Why goals look likely

Previous encounters between these two produced a memorable 3-3 draw in September — evidence both teams can unlock defences when they meet. Statistically the match-up leans towards an open game: Haiti’s competition over 2.5 rate is an eye-catching 87.5%, while Costa Rica also carry a high over 2.5 percentage at 75%. Both sides generate healthy shot volumes — Costa Rica averaging 20.25 shots per match with 66 on target across fixtures, Haiti producing 18.5 shots and 50 on target — indicators of an emphasis on going forward rather than sitting deep.

Costa Rica’s defensive record is sturdier in away contexts; they boast four clean sheets in their campaign data, but their head-to-head and recent all-action matches suggest this won’t be a low-key affair. Haiti’s ability to score away from home (14 away goals in the season stats) means they are not merely defensive fodder; they will test Costa Rica’s backline and look to exploit transitions.

Betting considerations and tactical edge

For readers weighing markets, the goal markets carry clear appeal here given the historical 3-3 draw and both teams’ tendencies to participate in high-scoring affairs. If you want guidance on market selection and approach, check out this primer on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and for timing your goal bets the piece on The right time to place bets on goal markets is worth a read.

Betting suggestion (goal market): Back Over 2.5 goals. Rationale: high over/under percentages for both teams, an explosive 3-3 H2H earlier in the campaign, and strong shot metrics point toward multiple scoring opportunities. Expect an open, end-to-end qualifier where both sides have the firepower — and the defensive lapses — to push the total beyond 2.5.