Prediction Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the DFB Pokal on 28/10/2025

Match overview

A midweek DFB Pokal tie at the Voith-Arena promises a feisty encounter as Heidenheim welcome Hamburger SV on 28 October 2025. The fixture arrives with both clubs coming off weekend defeats in the Bundesliga, and that recent malaise could add edge and urgency here: Heidenheim suffered a 3-1 loss to TSG Hoffenheim while Hamburg were edged 1-0 by VfL Wolfsburg. Those results set the scene for a cup clash in which small margins are likely to decide which side advances.

Heidenheim will lean on home advantage and a surprisingly accurate finishing return: their recent numbers show 15 total shots with 10 on target, suggesting when they find space they test the keeper consistently. They also have the comfort of a clean sheet recorded among their recent defensive outings, but their overall form reads uneven, with more losses than wins across the last ten matches. Hamburg, on the other hand, enter with clear attacking intent. Their statistical profile paints a picture of a side that presses and probes relentlessly—an attacks average of 135 and a dangerous attacks average of 142 are striking when compared with Heidenheim’s lower activity figures. The visitors also boast double the corners on average and have demonstrated in recent weeks they can hit heavy scores, exemplified by a 4-0 victory earlier in the month.

Tactical read and recent meetings

Tactically this looks like a clash of styles: Heidenheim’s ability to register a high share of shots on target from fewer attacking sequences against Hamburg’s volume game and sustained pressure. The head-to-head memory is fresh — Hamburg beat Heidenheim 2-1 in the Bundesliga on 20 September — and that result will give the visitors confidence that their approach can unsettle the home side. Heidenheim will aim to be efficient and compact, seeking to make the most of transitions where their shot accuracy can be dangerous. Hamburg will chase control through repeated forays, trying to create overloads and win the aerial or set-piece battles suggested by their corner statistics.

Prediction and betting tip

This feels like a match where the away side’s sustained offensive output and recent H2H success give them the slight edge. Heidenheim’s precision in front of goal is important, but Hamburg’s relentless attacking metrics point to a team more likely to break through over 90 minutes, especially after both sides suffered league setbacks and will be motivated to respond. With the market offering identical prices for home and away at 2.60 and the draw at 3.40, the value here leans to backing the visitors to convert pressure into a cup progression.

Betting suggestion (1X2): Back Hamburger SV to win (Away) at 2.60.